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Eredivisie

Referee: R Dieperink

Waalwijk

U T T T T

0–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,7

0,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,11 xG 2,88

39% Possession 61%

4 Shots 22

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 17. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	+6.3	9
2	Groningen	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
3	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.1	7
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
5	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
6	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.6	5
7	Willem II	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.5	5
8	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
11	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.0	3
13	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
14	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.9	2
15	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
16	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.9	0
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-4.9	0
18	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-10	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.5	3
10	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
12	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
13	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
14	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
15	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
17	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
2	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.0	4
3	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
5	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
8	Willem II	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.