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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta
Castellon
T S S T S
2–3
Full-time
Granada
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Castellon 6. · Granada 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 10 7 2 1 +7 23
2 Oviedo 11 5 4 2 +3 19
3 Mirandes 11 5 3 3 +1 18
4 Huesca 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 Zaragoza 10 5 1 4 +6 16
6 Castellon 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Granada 10 4 4 2 +4 16
8 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Levante 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Elche 10 4 2 4 +1 14
12 Albacete 10 4 2 4 +0 14
13 Burgos 10 4 2 4 -1 14
14 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
15 Cordoba 10 3 3 4 -2 12
16 Eldense 10 3 3 4 -2 12
17 Almeria 10 3 3 4 -3 12
18 La Coruna 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cadiz 10 2 4 4 -5 10
20 Ferrol 10 2 4 4 -5 10
21 Cartagena 10 2 0 8 -8 6
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Granada
-5′
🟨 Loïc Williams
26′
Reinier 0–1
31′
🔁 Miguel Brau
↦ Loïc Williams
1–1 Israel Suero
J. Willems
33′
2–1 Israel Suero
35′
42′
🟨 Reinier
Half-time 2–1
48′
🟨 Miguel Ángel Brau
49′
Miguel Brau 2–2
Sergio Ruiz
Raúl Sánchez 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Ignasi Miquel
Douglas Aurélio 🔁
↦ Dani Villahermosa
61′
Salva Ruiz 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
61′
65′
🔁 Pablo Sáenz
↦ Reinier
65′
🔁 G. Tsitaishvili
↦ K. Jóźwiak
Álex Calatrava 🟨
68′
80′
🔁 Ricard Sánchez
↦ Rubén Sánchez
80′
🔁 S. Weissman
↦ L. Boyé
De Miguel 🔁
↦ K. Mamah
84′
90′
ℹ️ Shon Weissman
VAR: Penalty confirmed
91′
🟨 Miguel Rubio
93′
M. Uzuni 2–3
Josep Calavera 🔁
↦ Israel Suero
94′
D. Flakus Bosilj 🔁
↦ J. Willems
94′
96′
🟨 Ignasi Miquel
96′
🟥 Ignasi Miquel
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Castellon

3-4-3
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
15 J. Willems D
21 Cala M
8 K. Mamah M
6 T. van den Belt M
19 Dani Villahermosa M
4 Israel Suero F
10 Raúl Sánchez F
20 M. Seuntjens F
Bench (12)
11 Douglas Aurélio
17 Salva Ruiz
9 De Miguel
23 Josep Calavera
12 D. Flakus Bosilj
14 Óscar Gil
27 José Albert
30 B. Schwake
46 Peré
7 Sergio Moyita
33 J. Vertrouwd
16 B. Cipenga

Coach: D. Schreuder

Granada

4-3-1-2
25 Diego Mariño G
2 Rubén Sánchez D
4 Miguel Rubio D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
24 Loïc Williams D
20 Sergio Ruiz M
6 M. Hongla M
18 K. Jóźwiak M
19 Reinier M
7 L. Boyé F
10 M. Uzuni F
Bench (12)
3 Miguel Brau
22 Pablo Sáenz
11 G. Tsitaishvili
12 Ricard Sánchez
9 S. Weissman
8 Gonzalo Villar
16 Manu Lama
13 Marc Martínez
23 Manu Trigueros
17 T. Corbeanu
30 Siren Diao
1 L. Zidane

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,48
B ✓
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marta Huerta · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.