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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Milan
S S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,22 xG 0,57
62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Milan Club Brugge
20′
🟨 Joaquin Seys
23′
🟨 Ardon Jashari
1–0 C. Pulišić ⚽
34′
40′
🟥 Raphael Onyedika
40′
ℹ️ Raphael Onyedika
VAR: Card upgrade
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Sabbe
↦ J. Seys
46′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ C. Talbi
Rafael Leão 🟨
50′
51′
⚽ K. Sabbe 1–1
H. Vetlesen
Álvaro Morata 🟨
59′
S. Chukwueze 🔁
↦ Rafael Leão
60′
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
60′
2–1 T. Reijnders ⚽
N. Okafor
61′
70′
🔁 A. Skov Olsen
↦ C. Tzolis
70′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ Ferran Jutglà
Matteo Gabbia 🟨
71′
3–1 T. Reijnders ⚽
S. Chukwueze
71′
73′
🟨 Michał Skóraś
F. Camarda 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
75′
Y. Musah 🔁
↦ Y. Fofana
75′
M. Thiaw 🔁
↦ M. Gabbia
83′
83′
🔁 C. Nielsen
↦ A. Jashari
Francesco Camarda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
88′
Francesco Camarda 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Milan

4-3-3
16 M. Maignan G
22 Emerson Royal D
46 M. Gabbia D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
29 Y. Fofana M
14 T. Reijnders M
11 C. Pulišić F
7 Álvaro Morata F
10 Rafael Leão F
Bench (10)
21 S. Chukwueze
17 N. Okafor
73 F. Camarda
80 Y. Musah
28 M. Thiaw
31 S. Pavlović
18 K. Zeroli
96 L. Torriani
57 M. Sportiello
42 F. Terracciano

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Club Brugge

4-4-1-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
68 C. Talbi M
30 A. Jashari M
15 R. Onyedika M
8 C. Tzolis M
20 H. Vanaken F
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (9)
64 K. Sabbe
10 H. Vetlesen
7 A. Skov Olsen
21 M. Skóraś
27 C. Nielsen
17 R. Vermant
58 J. Spileers
29 N. Jackers
2 Z. Romero

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.