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Champions League
Referee: G Kruashvili
Sturm Graz
U S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,75 xG 1,50
41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Dec -23 Sp Lisbon – Sturm Graz 3–0 21. Sep -23 Sturm Graz – Sp Lisbon 1–2

Match report

Sturm Graz Sp Lisbon
23′
⚽ Nuno Santos 0–1
V. Gyökeres
Malick Yalcouyé 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
53′
⚽ V. Gyökeres 0–2
Z. Debast
56′
🔁 Matheus Reis
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
L. Zvonarek 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
59′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ N. Geyrhofer
59′
68′
ℹ️ Geny Catamo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
70′
70′
🔁 Pote
↦ M. Araújo
70′
🔁 H. Morita
↦ Daniel Bragança
70′
🔁 J. St. Juste
↦ Z. Debast
84′
🔁 Geovany Quenda
↦ Nuno Santos
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
90′
K. Schopp 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
90′
Erencan Yardımcı 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-4-1-1
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
47 E. Aiwu D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
24 D. Lavalée D
8 M. Yalcouyé M
19 T. Horvat M
21 T. Chukwuani M
15 W. Bøving M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (12)
14 L. Zvonarek
2 M. Johnston
9 E. Yardımcı
25 S. Hierländer
32 K. Schopp
23 A. Malić
40 M. Bignetti
10 O. Kiteishvili
53 D. Khudyakov
17 E. Karić
36 A. Camara
38 L. Grgić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 F. Israel G
47 Ricardo Esgaio D
6 Z. Debast D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
21 Geny Catamo M
42 M. Hjulmand M
23 Daniel Bragança M
11 Nuno Santos M
17 Trincão F
20 M. Araújo F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (10)
2 Matheus Reis
8 Pote
5 H. Morita
3 J. St. Juste
57 Geovany Quenda
95 Lucas Taibo
41 Diego Callai
19 C. Harder
22 Iván Fresneda
13 V. Kovačević

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.