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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Monaco
S S U S U
5–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,33 xG 1,01
70% Possession 30%
27 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Nov -22 Monaco – FK Crvena Zvezda 4–1 8. Sep -22 FK Crvena Zvezda – Monaco 0–1

Match report

Monaco FK Crvena Zvezda
7′
🔁 Dálcio
↦ Bruno Duarte
1–0 T. Minamino ⚽
W. Singo
20′
Thilo Kehrer 🟨
26′
27′
⚽ C. Ndiaye 1–1
Half-time 1–1
A. Golovin 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
46′
47′
🟨 Andrija Maksimović
2–1 B. Embolo ⚽
49′
3–1 W. Singo ⚽
T. Kehrer
54′
Breel Embolo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
59′
60′
🔁 L. Ilić
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
60′
🔁 M. Rodić
↦ R. Krunić
4–1 T. Minamino ⚽
B. Embolo
70′
74′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ A. Maksimović
75′
🔁 G. Kanga
↦ C. Ndiaye
S. Magassa 🔁
↦ L. Camara
77′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
77′
K. Diatta 🔁
↦ Caio Henrique
77′
E. Matazo 🔁
↦ D. Zakaria
87′
5–1 M. Akliouche ⚽
T. Minamino
96′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
17 W. Singo D
5 T. Kehrer D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (12)
10 A. Golovin
88 S. Magassa
21 G. Ilenikhena
27 K. Diatta
8 E. Matazo
20 K. Ouattara
16 P. Köhn
13 C. Mawissa
42 S. Bouabré
4 J. Teze
50 Y. Lienard
41 L. Michal

Coach: A. Hütter

FK Crvena Zvezda

5-3-2
1 M. Ilić G
15 S. Katompa Mvumpa D
66 Seol Young-Woo D
5 U. Spajić D
24 N. Djiga D
14 P. Olayinka D
55 A. Maksimović M
21 T. Elšnik M
6 R. Krunić M
9 C. Ndiaye F
17 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (10)
22 Dálcio
32 L. Ilić
23 M. Rodić
10 A. Katai
8 G. Kanga
28 V. Draškić
25 S. Leković
27 Milson
49 N. Radonjić
77 I. Guteša

Coach: V. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.