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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Eldense
T U T U T
1–3
Full-time
Eibar
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
24%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
48%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
52%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
22 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eldense 19. · Eibar 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 22 12 6 4 +14 42
2 Elche 22 11 6 5 +14 39
3 Santander 22 11 6 5 +5 39
4 Mirandes 22 11 5 6 +9 38
5 Levante 22 9 9 4 +10 36
6 Huesca 22 10 6 6 +10 36
7 Oviedo 22 10 6 6 +4 36
8 Granada 22 9 7 6 +8 34
9 Sp Gijon 22 8 7 7 +4 31
10 Malaga 22 6 13 3 +2 31
11 Zaragoza 22 8 5 9 +4 29
12 Castellon 22 8 5 9 -1 29
13 Eibar 21 8 4 9 -2 28
14 Albacete 22 6 9 7 -3 27
15 Burgos 22 7 6 9 -7 27
16 Cordoba 22 7 6 9 -8 27
17 La Coruna 21 6 7 8 +2 25
18 Cadiz 22 5 9 8 -6 24
19 Eldense 21 5 6 10 -8 21
20 Ferrol 22 3 10 9 -14 19
21 Cartagena 22 4 3 15 -21 15
22 Tenerife 21 3 5 13 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Eibar
1–0 Masca
13′
Half-time 1–1
58′
José Corpas 1–1
59′
🔁 Ander Madariaga
↦ Xeber Alkain
62′
Ander Madariaga 1–2
Jon Bautista
Ian Mackay Abad 🟨
63′
72′
🟨 Jon Mikel Magunagoitia
76′
🔁 Toni Villa
↦ Iván Gil
Víctor Camarasa 🔁
↦ David Timor
77′
Juanto 🔁
↦ Diego Collado
77′
Joel Jorquera 🔁
↦ Masca
81′
86′
🔁 Jon Guruzeta
↦ Javi Martínez
86′
🔁 Jorge Pascual
↦ Jon Bautista
Álex Bernal 🔁
↦ Sergio Ortuño
87′
Unai Ropero 🔁
↦ Nacho Quintana
87′
96′
Jon Guruzeta 1–3
Toni Villa
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Eldense

4-4-2
13 Ian Mackay G
15 Fran Gámez D
14 Nacho Monsalve D
5 Piña D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
24 David Timor M
9 Nacho Quintana M
16 Masca F
25 Diego Collado F
Bench (11)
6 Víctor Camarasa
11 Juanto
19 Joel Jorquera
21 Álex Bernal
18 Unai Ropero
7 M. Diouri
2 Raúl Parra
3 Iván Martos
4 D. Đumić
22 R. Grigore
1 Dani Martín

Coach: Dani Ponz

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
17 José Corpas D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
5 Chema Rodríguez D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
7 Xeber Alkain M
24 Javi Martínez M
12 Iván Gil M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (9)
29 Ander Madariaga
19 Toni Villa
21 Jon Guruzeta
11 Jorge Pascual
2 Sergio Cubero
23 Anaitz Arbilla
26 Ibon Ispizua
14 Hodei Arrillaga
4 Álvaro Carrillo

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U
2,91
B ✓
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,66
U2,5
1,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.