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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergiu Muresan
Eibar
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
28%
61%
Both score Ø 45%
28%
61%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 12. · Zaragoza 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 4 3 +9 37
2 Almeria 19 10 5 4 +8 35
3 Mirandes 19 10 4 5 +6 34
4 Levante 18 8 6 4 +7 30
5 Sp Gijon 18 8 5 5 +8 29
6 Elche 18 8 5 5 +8 29
7 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
8 Granada 18 8 5 5 +7 29
9 Oviedo 18 8 5 5 +2 29
10 Huesca 18 7 5 6 +7 26
11 Zaragoza 18 7 5 6 +6 26
12 Eibar 18 7 3 8 -2 24
13 Albacete 19 6 6 7 -3 24
14 Malaga 18 4 11 3 -3 23
15 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
16 Cadiz 19 5 6 8 -6 21
17 Cordoba 19 5 6 8 -7 21
18 Burgos 18 6 3 9 -8 21
19 Eldense 18 5 4 9 -5 19
20 Ferrol 18 2 9 7 -12 15
21 Cartagena 19 4 1 14 -18 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Zaragoza
1–0 Antonio Puertas
Jorge Pascual
21′
25′
🟨 Malcom Ares
36′
🟨 Jair Amador
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Ander Madariaga
Cristian Gutiérrez
53′
Chema 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 Toni Moya
↦ Adu Ares
61′
🔁 Adrian Liso
↦ Ager Aketxe
Matheus Pereira 🟨
63′
Jon Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Toni Villa
67′
Peru Nolaskoain 🔁
↦ Matheus Pereira
67′
Antonio Puertas 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 Mario Soberón
↦ Enrique Clemente
69′
🔁 Pau Sans
↦ Marc Aguado
Xeber Alkain 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
75′
Hodei Arrillaga 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
75′
78′
🔁 Alberto Marí
↦ Iván Azón
80′
🟨 Pau Sans
80′
Adrian Liso 2–1
Toni Moya
82′
🟨 Ivan Calero
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
17 José Corpas D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
5 Chema Rodríguez D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Matheus Pereira M
29 Ander Madariaga M
19 Toni Villa M
20 Antonio Puertas M
11 Jorge Pascual F
Bench (11)
21 Jon Guruzeta
8 Peru Nolaskoain
7 Xeber Alkain
14 Hodei Arrillaga
9 Jon Bautista
27 Slavy
15 K. Hashimoto
26 Ibon Ispizua
18 Martín Merquelanz
2 Sergio Cubero
4 Álvaro Carrillo

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Zaragoza

5-4-1
25 Joan Femenías G
2 Marcos Luna D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
5 Enrique Clemente D
19 Iván Calero D
23 Ager Aketxe M
14 Francho Serrano M
8 Marc Aguado M
20 Adu Ares M
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (11)
21 Toni Moya
33 Adrian Liso
7 Mario Soberón
29 Pau Sans
22 Alberto Marí
10 Sergio Bermejo
15 Bernardo Vital
4 Dani Tasende
13 G. Poussin
1 C. Álvarez
26 Gori

Coach: Victor Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
2,94
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,48
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sergiu Muresan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.