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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Almeria
T U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Elche
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
46%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
65%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
73%
31%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 7. · Elche 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
2 Santander 27 14 6 7 +11 48
3 Huesca 27 13 8 6 +16 47
4 Oviedo 27 13 8 6 +7 47
5 Elche 26 13 7 6 +15 46
6 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
7 Almeria 26 12 8 6 +11 44
8 Granada 27 11 9 7 +11 42
9 Sp Gijon 27 9 10 8 +4 37
10 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
11 Cordoba 27 10 6 11 -7 36
12 La Coruna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
13 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
14 Malaga 27 7 14 6 +0 35
15 Zaragoza 27 9 7 11 +3 34
16 Albacete 27 8 10 9 -4 34
17 Eibar 27 9 6 12 -5 33
18 Burgos 26 9 6 11 -8 33
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 26 4 10 12 -24 22
21 Tenerife 27 4 7 16 -18 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Elche
Edgar González 🟨
3′
Lucas Robertone 🟨
31′
Selvi Clúa 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
59′
José Salinas 0–1
Germán Valera
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Lázaro
61′
M. Milovanović 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
66′
72′
🔁 Gerard Hernández
↦ Marc Aguado
72′
🔁 M. El Ghezouani
↦ A. Álvarez
Selvi Clúa 🟨
76′
Selvi Clúa 🟥
76′
79′
🔁 Pejiño
↦ Germán Valera
79′
🔁 A. Boayar
↦ Rodrigo Mendoza
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
80′
Álex Pozo 🔁
↦ L. Robertone
80′
1–1 Arnau Puigmal
Kaiky
85′
86′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ N. Castro
98′
🟨 Adam Boayar
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-4-2
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
4 Kaiky D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
11 Sergio Arribas M
23 Silvi M
5 L. Robertone M
7 Lázaro M
12 Léo Baptistão F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
2 Arnau Puigmal
19 M. Milovanović
10 Nico Melamed
17 Álex Pozo
36 M. Perović
24 Bruno Langa
16 A. Radovanović
31 Bruno Iribarne
35 Lorenzo Sánchez
13 Fernando Martínez
21 Chumi

Coach: Rubi

Elche

3-4-2-1
13 M. Dituro G
5 John Donald D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
20 Germán Valera M
8 Marc Aguado M
14 Aleix Febas M
12 José Salinas M
21 N. Castro F
30 Rodrigo Mendoza F
9 A. Álvarez F
Bench (12)
31 Gerard Hernández
19 M. El Ghezouani
23 Pejiño
32 A. Boayar
7 Óscar Plano
2 Mario Gaspar
16 Álex Martín
4 Bambo Diaby
15 Álvaro Núñez
1 Miguel San Román
18 S. Kaba
35 A. Houary

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,24
B
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.