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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Rizespor

S T S T T

1–2

Full-time

Galatasaray

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 61%

36%

86%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

59%

77%

Both score Ø 62%

55%

68%

Average goals

2,9

3,6

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,07 xG 1,82

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 8

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 12. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	22	19	3	0	+35	+24.0	60
2	Fenerbahce	23	18	3	2	+37	+28.5	57
3	Samsunspor	23	14	4	5	+14	+10.3	46
4	Eyüpspor	23	11	7	5	+14	+2.0	40
5	Besiktas	22	10	8	4	+11	+9.1	38
6	Goztep	22	10	5	7	+13	+14.2	35
7	Buyuksehyr	23	9	6	8	+8	+6.7	33
8	Kasimpasa	23	7	10	6	-4	-0.3	31
9	Trabzonspor	22	7	8	7	+10	-2.8	29
10	Gaziantep	22	8	5	9	-2	-6.3	29
11	Alanyaspor	23	7	7	9	-6	-2.9	28
12	Rizespor	22	8	3	11	-11	+3.7	27
13	Antalyaspor	23	7	6	10	-16	-11.3	27
14	Konyaspor	23	6	6	11	-8	-7.5	24
15	Sivasspor	23	6	5	12	-12	-16.0	23
16	Kayserispor	22	4	9	9	-19	-5.7	21
17	Bodrumspor	23	5	5	13	-13	-4.7	20
18	Hatayspor	23	2	7	14	-18	-17.7	13
19	Ad. Demirspor	23	2	3	18	-33	-23.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	10	2	0	+17	+17.2	32
2	Fenerbahce	11	10	0	1	+17	+15.0	30
3	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
4	Trabzonspor	11	7	3	1	+17	+3.3	24
5	Eyüpspor	11	7	3	1	+13	+4.0	24
6	Gaziantep	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.7	24
7	Samsunspor	11	7	2	2	+10	+9.6	23
8	Besiktas	11	7	2	2	+6	+7.5	23
9	Buyuksehyr	12	6	4	2	+15	+8.4	22
10	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+3	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	11	5	3	3	-2	-3.7	18
12	Sivasspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-6.2	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
15	Kasimpasa	11	3	4	4	-3	+3.7	13
16	Bodrumspor	11	3	3	5	+1	-0.8	12
17	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
18	Kayserispor	11	2	4	5	-10	-2.1	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	1	10	-19	-10.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+18	+6.8	28
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	3	1	+20	+13.4	27
3	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+4	+0.7	23
4	Kasimpasa	12	4	6	2	-1	-4.0	18
5	Eyüpspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.1	16
6	Besiktas	11	3	6	2	+5	+1.7	15
7	Rizespor	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.8	12
8	Buyuksehyr	11	3	2	6	-7	-1.7	11
9	Kayserispor	11	2	5	4	-9	-3.6	11
10	Konyaspor	12	3	1	8	-9	-9.6	10
11	Alanyaspor	12	2	4	6	-9	-6.7	10
12	Antalyaspor	12	2	3	7	-14	-7.7	9
13	Bodrumspor	12	2	2	8	-14	-3.9	8
14	Goztep	11	1	4	6	-6	+0.8	7
15	Sivasspor	11	2	1	8	-13	-9.8	7
16	Trabzonspor	11	0	5	6	-7	-6.1	5
17	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	11	1	2	8	-14	-12.4	5
19	Hatayspor	10	0	2	8	-12	-10.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.