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Svenska Cupen
Referee: T Olofsson
Sirius
S T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Helsingborg
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Helsingborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 27. · Helsingborg 29.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stockholm Internazionale 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Djurgarden 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Elfsborg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 GAIS 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Goteborg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Trelleborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Norrkoping 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 AIK 2 1 1 0 +6 4
13 Hammarby 2 1 1 0 +5 4
14 Brommapojkarna 2 1 1 0 +5 4
15 Degerfors 2 1 1 0 +3 4
16 Varberg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 IK brage 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Karlberg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
19 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
20 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
23 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Kalmar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Oster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Hacken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Varnamo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Skövde AIK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Oddevold 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Orgryte 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Orebro SK 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Landskrona 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Gefle IF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Utsikten 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sirius Helsingborg
Half-time 0–0
M. Lindberg 🔁
↦ A. Pyndt
60′
T. Carlsson 🟨
62′
65′
🟨 W. Loeper
66′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ W. Loeper
1–0 L. Walta
69′
B. Milovanov 🔁
↦ M. Heier
73′
S. Mamatsashvili 🔁
↦ V. Ekström
73′
74′
🟨 L. Kjellnas
79′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ E. Gigović
79′
🔁 B. Amer
↦ T. Silverholt
79′
🔁 M. Mustać Gudmann
↦ J. Birkfeldt
2–0 J. Persson
86′
90′
🔁 T. Görefält
↦ L. Kjellnäs
H. Andersson Mella 🔁
↦ N. Milleskog
94′
94′
M. Mustać Gudmann 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sirius

I. Diawara
T. Carlsson
T. Anker
I. Yawe Höök
V. Ekström
A. Pyndt
M. Heier
N. Milleskog
A. Vikman
L. Walta
J. Persson
Bench (8)
M. Lindberg
B. Milovanov
S. Mamatsashvili
H. Andersson Mella
A. Jamshidi
D. Ćelić
F. Olsson
J. Voelkerling Persson

Coach: A. Engelmark

Helsingborg

J. Brattberg
J. Birkfeldt
W. Nilsson
W. Westerlund
B. Örn
E. Gigović
L. Kjellnäs
M. Svensson
W. Loeper
T. Silverholt
A. Svanbäck
Bench (6)
M. Rasmussen
A. Nordin
B. Amer
M. Mustać Gudmann
T. Görefält
E. Rådahl

Coach: K. Saarenpää

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Olofsson · 16 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.