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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Albacete
T U U U U
2–1
Full-time
Almeria
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
26%
52%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
65%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
70%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
14 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 16. · Almeria 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 6 5 +12 45
2 Elche 24 12 7 5 +16 43
3 Almeria 23 12 7 4 +14 43
4 Levante 24 11 9 4 +13 42
5 Mirandes 23 12 5 6 +10 41
6 Huesca 24 11 7 6 +14 40
7 Oviedo 23 11 6 6 +5 39
8 Granada 24 10 7 7 +8 37
9 Sp Gijon 24 8 8 8 +2 32
10 Eibar 24 9 5 10 -2 32
11 Malaga 23 6 13 4 +1 31
12 Zaragoza 23 8 6 9 +4 30
13 Cordoba 24 8 6 10 -8 30
14 Castellon 23 8 5 10 -2 29
15 La Coruna 23 7 7 9 +2 28
16 Albacete 23 6 10 7 -3 28
17 Cadiz 23 6 9 8 -3 27
18 Burgos 23 7 6 10 -8 27
19 Eldense 24 6 6 12 -12 24
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 23 3 6 14 -17 15
22 Cartagena 24 4 3 17 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Almeria
1–0 Jon Morcillo
Agus Medina
13′
15′
🟨 Dion Lopy
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Robertone
↦ D. Lopy
Agus Medina 🟨
51′
Rai Marchán 🔁
↦ Fidel
62′
63′
🟨 Chumi
68′
🟨 Luis Javier Suárez
2–0 Jon Morcillo
70′
Javi Villar 🔁
↦ Riki Rodríguez
71′
72′
🔁 Lázaro
↦ Léo Baptistão
73′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Gonzalo Melero
Lalo Aguilar 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 M. Perović
↦ Chumi
82′
🔁 M. Milovanović
↦ Nico Melamed
Marcos Moreno 🔁
↦ Jon Morcillo
84′
Juan María Alcedo 🔁
↦ C. Kofane
84′
N. Touaizi 🔁
↦ Antonio Pacheco
84′
86′
🟨 Lázaro
86′
L. Robertone 2–1
Lázaro
96′
🟨 Marc Pubill
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Albacete

4-4-2
13 Raúl Lizoain G
29 Javi Rueda D
14 Jon García D
27 Lalo Aguilar D
4 Agus Medina D
10 Fidel M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
20 Antonio Pacheco M
22 Jon Morcillo M
35 C. Kofane F
7 Juanma García F
Bench (10)
6 Rai Marchán
18 Javi Villar
34 Marcos Moreno
3 Juan María Alcedo
15 N. Touaizi
23 Pepe Sánchez
1 Cristian Rivero
9 Higinio Marín
5 Juan Antonio
31 Willy

Coach: Alberto González

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
8 Gonzalo Melero M
6 D. Lopy M
11 Sergio Arribas M
12 Léo Baptistão M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
5 L. Robertone
7 Lázaro
2 Arnau Puigmal
36 M. Perović
19 M. Milovanović
16 A. Radovanović
35 Lorenzo Sánchez
17 Álex Pozo
13 Fernando Martínez
34 Rubén Quintanilla
24 Bruno Langa
4 Kaiky

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,05
U
3,34
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.