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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Annecy
U S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Caen
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Annecy Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
45%
18%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
36%
41%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Annecy 6. · Caen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 23 15 4 4 +19 49
2 Metz 23 12 8 3 +21 44
3 Paris FC 23 13 4 6 +14 43
4 Dunkerque 23 13 3 7 +8 42
5 Guingamp 23 12 2 9 +10 38
6 Annecy 22 10 6 6 +2 36
7 Laval 23 9 7 7 +7 34
8 Grenoble 23 10 4 9 +2 34
9 Bastia 23 6 13 4 +6 31
10 Pau FC 23 7 8 8 -6 29
11 Amiens 23 9 2 12 -11 29
12 Troyes 23 8 3 12 -1 27
13 Ajaccio 23 8 3 12 -9 27
14 Rodez 23 7 5 11 +0 26
15 Red Star 23 7 5 11 -15 26
16 Clermont 23 6 7 10 -7 25
17 Martigues 23 5 3 15 -25 18
18 Caen 22 4 3 15 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Annecy Caen
1–0 Y. Demoncy
13′
Fabrice N'Sakala 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Ntim
↦ A. Moucketou-Moussounda
A. Bermont 🔁
↦ K. Djoco
58′
71′
🔁 I. Najim
↦ L. Sy
71′
🔁 L. Rajot
↦ D. Debohi
Q. Paris 🔁
↦ T. Dago
72′
W. Tiendrébéogo 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
72′
80′
🔁 A. Ba Loua
↦ J. Gaudin
C. Billemaz 🔁
↦ A. Larose
86′
86′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ N. Lebreton
Quentin Paris 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Annecy

4-2-3-1
1 F. Escales G
41 T. Delphis D
15 S. Bane D
18 A. Drouhin D
21 F. Nsakala D
17 V. Pajot M
5 A. Kashi M
28 A. Larose M
24 Y. Demoncy M
10 K. Djoco M
9 T. Dago F
Bench (7)
26 A. Bermont
33 Q. Paris
20 W. Tiendrébéogo
22 C. Billemaz
27 J. Kouadio
4 P. Ganiou
16 T. Callens

Coach: L. Guyot

Caen

3-5-2
1 A. Mandréa G
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
29 R. Thomas D
61 B. Traoré D
25 L. Sy M
20 N. Lebreton M
6 Y. M'Vila M
77 D. Debohi
27 J. Gaudin M
18 K. Coulibaly F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
91 E. Ntim
50 I. Najim
14 L. Rajot
88 A. Ba Loua
8 M. Le Bihan
16 Y. Clémentia
3 D. Bolumbu

Coach: Bruno Baltazar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
3,15
B
2,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.