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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Castellon
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Eldense
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
56%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 17. · Eldense 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
4 Santander 39 19 10 10 +15 67
5 Oviedo 39 18 12 9 +11 66
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
10 Cordoba 39 14 12 13 +0 54
11 Albacete 40 14 12 14 -2 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
17 Castellon 39 13 10 16 +0 49
18 Zaragoza 39 12 12 15 -4 48
19 Eldense 39 11 10 18 -18 43
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 40 6 12 22 -38 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -24 Eldense – Castellon 2–3

Match report

Castellon Eldense
21′
🟨 Fran Gámez
Half-time 0–0
J. Escobar 🔁
↦ Óscar Gil
46′
Oscar Gil 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
47′
Oscar Gil 🟨
49′
Israel Suero 🔁
↦ Sergio Moyita
61′
66′
🔁 Iván Chapela
↦ Diego Collado
66′
🔁 Nacho Quintana
↦ S. Gassama
Alberto Jiménez 🟨
69′
71′
Javi Llabrés 0–1
N. Markanich 🔁
↦ J. Vertrouwd
76′
Salva Ruiz 🔁
↦ Alberto Jiménez
76′
Israel Suero 🟨
80′
81′
🟨 Dario Đumić
81′
🔁 Raúl Parra
↦ Fran Gámez
82′
🔁 Diego Méndez
↦ Iván Martos
84′
🟨 Diego Mendez
1–1 N. Markanich
Cala
84′
86′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ Javi Llabrés
G. Zarfino 🔁
↦ Cala
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Castellon

3-4-3
1 G. Crettaz G
5 Alberto Jiménez D
14 Óscar Gil D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
22 D. Chirino M
21 Cala M
6 T. van den Belt M
7 Sergio Moyita M
19 A. Mabil F
24 O. Camara F
10 Raúl Sánchez F
Bench (12)
25 J. Escobar
4 Israel Suero
20 N. Markanich
17 Salva Ruiz
2 G. Zarfino
18 A. Lottin
51 Gonzalo Pastor
23 Josep Calavera
12 M. Jojić
16 B. Cipenga
9 De Miguel
13 A. Abedzadeh

Coach: J. Plat

Eldense

4-5-1
1 Dani Martín G
15 Fran Gámez D
4 D. Đumić D
24 David Timor D
3 Iván Martos D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
12 A. Diawara M
25 Diego Collado M
10 Javi Llabrés M
22 S. Gassama F
Bench (10)
20 Iván Chapela
9 Nacho Quintana
2 Raúl Parra
28 Diego Méndez
19 Fede Vico
21 Álex Bernal
6 Víctor Camarasa
7 M. Diouri
13 Ian Mackay
36 Álvaro Aceves

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
4,00
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.