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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Sp Gijon
T U S T T
1–3
Full-time
Ferrol
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
44%
28%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

71% Possession 29%
24 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 7. · Ferrol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 4 3 +9 37
2 Almeria 19 10 5 4 +8 35
3 Mirandes 19 10 4 5 +6 34
4 Oviedo 19 9 5 5 +4 32
5 Elche 19 8 6 5 +8 30
6 Levante 18 8 6 4 +7 30
7 Sp Gijon 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
9 Granada 19 8 5 6 +5 29
10 Eibar 19 8 3 8 -1 27
11 Huesca 18 7 5 6 +7 26
12 Zaragoza 19 7 5 7 +5 26
13 Albacete 19 6 6 7 -3 24
14 Malaga 18 4 11 3 -3 23
15 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
16 Cadiz 19 5 6 8 -6 21
17 Cordoba 19 5 6 8 -7 21
18 Burgos 18 6 3 9 -8 21
19 Eldense 19 5 5 9 -5 20
20 Ferrol 18 2 9 7 -12 15
21 Cartagena 19 4 1 14 -18 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Ferrol
15′
Nacho Sánchez 0–1
Aitor Gelardo
17′
ℹ️ Nacho Sánchez
VAR: Goal confirmed
27′
Josué Dorrio 0–2
Aitor Gelardo
1–2 Lander Olaetxea
Víctor Campuzano
33′
Ignacio Méndez 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Álvaro Giménez
42′
🟨 David Castro
44′
Aitor Buñuel 1–3
Josué Dorrio
Half-time 1–3
Nacho Martín 🔁
↦ N. Maraš
46′
Guille Rosas 🟨
52′
Lander Olaetxea 🟨
57′
63′
🔁 Álex López
↦ Aitor Gelardo
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
70′
Pablo García 🔁
↦ Cote
70′
J. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
76′
79′
🔁 Eneko Jauregi
↦ Álvaro Giménez
79′
🔁 Rober Correa
↦ Josué Dorrio
82′
🟨 Naldo
Jordy Caicedo 🟨
83′
Álex Oyón 🔁
↦ Víctor Campuzano
83′
83′
🔁 Julián Delmás
↦ David Castro
Jonathan Dubasin 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Nacho Sánchez
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
13 C. Sánchez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
3 Cote D
18 César Gelabert M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
11 Víctor Campuzano F
7 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (11)
6 Nacho Martín
9 Dani Queipo
5 Pablo García
16 J. Caicedo
27 Álex Oyón
29 Y. Kembo
23 Eric Curbelo
8 Jesús Bernal
26 Iker Martínez
32 E. Henriksson
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: Rubén Albés

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
15 David Castro D
6 Álvaro Sanz M
10 Josep Señé M
11 Nacho Sánchez M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
17 Josué Dorrio M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (11)
8 Álex López
9 Eneko Jauregi
3 Rober Correa
2 Julián Delmás
7 Chiki
13 Yoel Rodríguez
26 David Carballo
19 Manu Vallejo
1 Emilio Bernad
12 Bebé
24 Luis Perea

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U
3,74
B ✓
6,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.