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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Rotherham
U S T T U
3–1
Full-time
West Brom
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Championship · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 32%
24%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
23 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 20. · West Brom 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 +45 84
2 Sheffield United 38 22 7 9 +26 73
3 Middlesbrough 38 20 7 11 +26 67
4 Luton 37 18 11 8 +13 65
5 Millwall 40 17 11 12 +8 62
6 Blackburn 38 19 4 15 +0 61
7 Norwich 39 16 9 14 +10 57
8 West Brom 38 15 11 12 +8 56
9 Preston 39 15 11 13 -7 56
10 Watford 39 14 13 12 +3 55
11 Coventry 37 14 11 12 +5 53
12 Sunderland 37 14 10 13 +7 52
13 Stoke 39 14 9 16 +7 51
14 Bristol City 39 12 13 14 -1 49
15 Swansea 39 13 10 16 -5 49
16 Birmingham 39 13 9 17 -7 48
17 Hull 39 12 12 15 -10 48
18 Reading 39 13 7 19 -18 46
19 QPR 39 11 9 19 -22 42
20 Rotherham 38 9 14 15 -10 41
21 Cardiff 38 10 9 19 -14 39
22 Huddersfield 39 10 9 20 -19 39
23 Wigan 39 8 13 18 -25 37
24 Blackpool 39 8 11 20 -20 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham West Brom
T. Blackett 🔁
↦ B. Wright
25′
32′
J. Swift 0–1
1–1 J. Hugill
C. Coventry
42′
Half-time 1–1
Conor Coventry 🟨
48′
2–1 J. Hugill
S. Ferguson
50′
58′
🔁 T. Rogić
↦ D. Furlong
58′
🔁 K. Bartley
↦ S. Ajayi
58′
🔁 M. Albrighton
↦ J. Swift
O. Rathbone 🔁
↦ S. Ferguson
65′
68′
🟨 Erik Pieters
70′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
74′
🟨 Karlan Grant
74′
🔁 K. Ahearne-Grant
↦ B. Thomas-Asante
3–1 T. Fosu
O. Rathbone
76′
78′
🟨 Nathaniel Chalobah
Oliver Rathbone 🟨
82′
H. Odoffin 🔁
↦ J. Lindsay
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-3-3
1 V. Johansson G
2 W. Harding D
28 B. Wright D
24 C. Humphreys D
29 L. Hjelde D
16 J. Lindsay M
4 C. Coventry M
7 T. Fosu M
11 C. Ogbene F
10 J. Hugill F
17 S. Ferguson F
Bench (7)
42 T. Blackett
18 O. Rathbone
22 H. Odoffin
3 C. Bramall
9 T. Eaves
31 J. Vickers
12 G. Kelly

Coach: M. Taylor

West Brom

4-2-3-1
33 J. Griffiths G
2 D. Furlong D
6 S. Ajayi D
15 E. Pieters D
3 C. Townsend D
29 T. Gardner-Hickman M
25 N. Chalobah M
17 J. Wallace M
19 J. Swift M
21 B. Thomas-Asante M
12 D. Dike F
Bench (7)
7 T. Rogić
5 K. Bartley
22 M. Albrighton
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
24 A. Palmer
39 J. Andrews
32 J. Malcolm

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,90
U
3,49
B
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.