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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Sunderland
T T S T U
4–4
Full-time
Hull
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 37/39 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
51%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 12. · Hull 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 +45 84
2 Sheffield United 39 23 7 9 +27 76
3 Middlesbrough 38 20 7 11 +26 67
4 Luton 37 18 11 8 +13 65
5 Millwall 40 17 11 12 +8 62
6 Blackburn 39 19 4 16 -2 61
7 Norwich 40 17 9 14 +12 60
8 Preston 40 16 11 13 -5 59
9 West Brom 39 15 11 13 +6 56
10 Watford 40 14 13 13 +2 55
11 Coventry 38 14 12 12 +5 54
12 Sunderland 37 14 10 13 +7 52
13 Bristol City 40 13 13 14 +0 52
14 Stoke 40 14 9 17 +6 51
15 Swansea 40 13 11 16 -5 50
16 Birmingham 40 13 10 17 -7 49
17 Hull 39 12 12 15 -10 48
18 Reading 40 13 8 19 -18 47
19 Rotherham 39 10 14 15 -8 44
20 Cardiff 39 11 9 19 -12 42
21 Huddersfield 40 11 9 20 -18 42
22 QPR 40 11 9 20 -24 42
23 Wigan 40 8 13 19 -26 37
24 Blackpool 40 8 11 21 -22 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Hull
11′
O. Tufan 0–1
R. Slater
1–1 J. Gelhardt
J. Clarke
21′
2–1 A. Diallo
J. Clarke
22′
25′
A. Sayyadmanesh 2–2
34′
🟨 Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Half-time 2–2
58′
🔁 G. Docherty
↦ D. Pelkas
65′
🔁 C. Elder
↦ L. Coyle
66′
R. Slater 2–3
C. Elder
3–3 A. Diallo
73′
A. Pritchard 🔁
↦ J. Gelhardt
75′
P. Ekwah 🔁
↦ É. Michut
75′
4–3 J. Clarke
P. Roberts
81′
83′
🟨 Callum Elder
85′
🔁 M. Ebiowei
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
86′
🔁 R. Longman
↦ J. Seri
98′
O. Tufan 4–4
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
32 T. Hume D
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
11 L. Gooch D
24 D. Neil M
25 É. Michut M
10 P. Roberts M
16 A. Diallo M
20 J. Clarke M
28 J. Gelhardt F
Bench (7)
21 A. Pritchard
39 P. Ekwah
45 J. Anderson
22 I. Lihadji
3 D. Cirkin
12 A. Bass
17 A. Ba

Coach: T. Mowbray

Hull

4-4-2
12 K. Darlow G
2 L. Coyle D
5 A. Jones D
17 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
9 A. Sayyadmanesh M
24 J. Seri M
27 R. Slater M
20 D. Pelkas M
18 A. Traoré F
7 O. Tufan F
Bench (7)
8 G. Docherty
3 C. Elder
10 M. Ebiowei
16 R. Longman
15 R. Woods
1 M. Ingram
35 X. Simons

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U ✓
3,40
B
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.