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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Boavista

S U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 39%

31%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

62%

42%

Both score Ø 47%

58%

35%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 17

7 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Boavista 13. · Guimaraes 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	27	23	2	2	+52	71
2	Porto	27	20	4	3	+40	64
3	Sp Braga	26	19	2	5	+33	59
4	Sp Lisbon	26	17	3	6	+29	54
5	Arouca	26	11	8	7	-2	41
6	Guimaraes	26	12	5	9	-4	41
7	Vizela	27	11	5	11	+3	38
8	Casa Pia	26	11	5	10	-4	38
9	Rio Ave	26	9	6	11	-4	33
10	Famalicao	26	10	3	13	-8	33
11	Chaves	26	8	8	10	-6	32
12	Gil Vicente	26	8	6	12	-6	30
13	Boavista	26	8	6	12	-14	30
14	Portimonense	26	8	2	16	-15	26
15	Estoril	26	7	4	15	-17	25
16	Maritimo	26	5	4	17	-28	19
17	Pacos Ferreira	26	4	5	17	-24	17
18	Santa Clara	27	3	6	18	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	12	1	1	+31	37
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	0	2	+28	33
3	Porto	13	11	0	2	+27	33
4	Guimaraes	14	8	3	3	+4	27
5	Sp Braga	12	8	2	2	+17	26
6	Arouca	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Rio Ave	13	7	1	5	+4	22
8	Famalicao	13	7	1	5	+3	22
9	Casa Pia	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Boavista	13	5	5	3	-1	20
11	Vizela	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Gil Vicente	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Portimonense	13	5	2	6	-2	17
14	Chaves	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Maritimo	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Estoril	13	4	2	7	-10	14
17	Santa Clara	14	2	4	8	-13	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	11	1	1	+21	34
2	Sp Braga	14	11	0	3	+16	33
3	Porto	14	9	4	1	+13	31
4	Vizela	14	6	3	5	+2	21
5	Sp Lisbon	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Chaves	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Arouca	13	4	6	3	-5	18
8	Casa Pia	13	5	2	6	-7	17
9	Guimaraes	12	4	2	6	-8	14
10	Gil Vicente	13	4	1	8	-6	13
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Rio Ave	13	2	5	6	-8	11
13	Famalicao	13	3	2	8	-11	11
14	Boavista	13	3	1	9	-13	10
15	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	3	8	-10	9
16	Portimonense	13	3	0	10	-13	9
17	Santa Clara	13	1	2	10	-12	5
18	Maritimo	13	1	2	10	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.