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Championship
Referee: J Busby
West Brom
T S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Rotherham
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Championship · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 2
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 16. · Rotherham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 22 12 8 2 +20 44
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 +17 41
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 +7 35
5 Watford 22 9 7 6 +6 34
6 Preston 22 9 7 6 +1 34
7 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 +4 32
8 Millwall 22 9 5 8 +1 32
9 Reading 23 10 2 11 -7 32
10 QPR 22 9 4 9 -1 31
11 Swansea 22 8 7 7 -2 31
12 Middlesbrough 21 8 6 7 +5 30
13 Sunderland 21 8 5 8 +5 29
14 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
15 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 +0 27
16 West Brom 21 6 8 7 +1 26
17 Coventry 19 7 5 7 +1 26
18 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 -3 26
19 Stoke 22 7 5 10 -5 26
20 Cardiff 22 7 4 11 -8 25
21 Hull 22 7 4 11 -14 25
22 Wigan 22 6 6 10 -10 24
23 Blackpool 22 6 5 11 -9 23
24 Huddersfield 21 5 4 12 -8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Rotherham
1–0 J. Wallace
T. Rogić
20′
Half-time 1–0
B. Thomas-Asante 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
56′
G. Diangana 🔁
↦ D. Dike
57′
2–0 G. Diangana
J. Wallace
57′
65′
🔁 G. Kelly
↦ B. Norton-Cuffy
65′
🔁 O. Rathbone
↦ J. Lindsay
T. Gardner-Hickman 🔁
↦ J. Swift
66′
69′
🟨 Cameron Humphreys
3–0 B. Thomas-Asante
70′
72′
🟨 Georgie Kelly
73′
🔁 G. Hall
↦ C. Humphreys
K. Ahearne-Grant 🔁
↦ J. Wallace
74′
J. Molumby 🔁
↦ T. Rogić
74′
Dara O'Shea 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 C. Washington
↦ S. High
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

West Brom

4-3-3
24 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
4 D. O'Shea D
15 E. Pieters D
3 C. Townsend D
19 J. Swift M
35 O. Yokuşlu M
7 T. Rogić M
17 J. Wallace F
12 D. Dike F
10 M. Phillips F
Bench (7)
21 B. Thomas-Asante
11 G. Diangana
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
14 J. Molumby
1 D. Button
16 M. Kelly

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Rotherham

3-4-2-1
1 V. Johansson G
21 L. Peltier D
24 C. Humphreys D
2 W. Harding D
10 B. Norton-Cuffy M
4 D. Barlaser M
16 J. Lindsay M
3 C. Bramall M
8 B. Wiles F
7 S. High F
11 C. Ogbene F
Bench (7)
12 G. Kelly
18 O. Rathbone
20 G. Hall
14 C. Washington
9 T. Eaves
31 J. Vickers
22 H. Odoffin

Coach: M. Taylor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,49
B
7,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Busby · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.