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LaLiga2

Referee: Alvaro Moreno Aragon

Castellon

S T T U T

3–3

Full-time

Ceuta

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Ceuta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Castellon 20. · Ceuta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	5	4	0	1	+5	–	12
2	La Coruna	5	3	2	0	+7	–	11
3	Valladolid	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
4	Cadiz	5	3	2	0	+3	–	11
5	Andorra	5	3	1	1	+3	–	10
6	Huesca	5	3	1	1	+2	–	10
7	Sp Gijon	4	3	0	1	+2	–	9
8	Las Palmas	5	2	2	1	+2	–	8
9	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+1	–	8
10	Eibar	5	2	1	2	+3	–	7
11	Mirandes	5	2	0	3	-2	–	6
12	Burgos	4	1	2	1	+3	+3.1	5
13	Sociedad B	5	1	2	2	-1	–	5
14	Almeria	5	1	2	2	-2	–	5
15	Leganes	4	0	4	0	+0	–	4
16	Cordoba	5	1	1	3	-4	–	4
17	Cultural Leonesa	5	1	1	3	-4	-3.1	4
18	Ceuta	4	1	0	3	-6	-2.3	3
19	Zaragoza	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
20	Castellon	4	0	1	3	-4	–	1
21	Albacete	4	0	1	3	-5	–	1
22	Granada	4	0	1	3	-6	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cadiz	3	3	0	0	+3	–	9
2	Valladolid	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.3	7
3	Huesca	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
4	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
5	Santander	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
6	Andorra	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
7	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
8	Sociedad B	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
9	Malaga	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
10	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.1	4
11	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
12	Las Palmas	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
13	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
14	Cordoba	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
15	Leganes	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
16	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
17	Castellon	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
18	Cultural Leonesa	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
19	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
20	Granada	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
21	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0
22	Mirandes	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+6	–	7
2	Mirandes	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
3	Santander	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
4	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
5	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Andorra	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
7	Almeria	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
8	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
9	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
10	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
11	Cultural Leonesa	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.1	3
12	Cadiz	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
13	Leganes	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
14	Albacete	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
15	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
16	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
17	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
19	Cordoba	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
20	Sociedad B	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0
21	Castellon	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.