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LaLiga2

Referee: Alejandro Ojaos Valera

Ceuta

T T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Zaragoza

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Zaragoza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

80%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,6

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

2,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

7 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 18. · Zaragoza 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	6	4	2	0	+11	–	14
2	Santander	5	4	0	1	+5	–	12
3	Valladolid	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
4	Andorra	6	3	2	1	+3	–	11
5	Cadiz	5	3	2	0	+3	–	11
6	Las Palmas	6	3	2	1	+3	–	11
7	Huesca	6	3	1	2	-2	–	10
8	Sp Gijon	6	3	0	3	+0	–	9
9	Burgos	5	2	2	1	+4	+3.1	8
10	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+1	–	8
11	Almeria	6	2	2	2	-1	–	8
12	Eibar	5	2	1	2	+3	–	7
13	Leganes	6	1	4	1	+1	–	7
14	Mirandes	6	2	1	3	-2	–	7
15	Sociedad B	5	1	2	2	-1	–	5
16	Castellon	6	1	2	3	-2	–	5
17	Cordoba	5	1	1	3	-4	–	4
18	Ceuta	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.3	4
19	Cultural Leonesa	6	1	1	4	-6	-3.1	4
20	Zaragoza	5	0	3	2	-3	–	3
21	Albacete	5	0	2	3	-5	–	2
22	Granada	5	0	1	4	-8	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cadiz	3	3	0	0	+3	–	9
2	Valladolid	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.3	7
3	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+5	–	7
4	Andorra	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
5	Huesca	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
6	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
7	Santander	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
8	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
9	Sociedad B	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
10	Malaga	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
11	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.1	4
12	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
13	Las Palmas	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
14	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
15	Cordoba	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
16	Castellon	3	0	2	1	-1	–	2
17	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-1	–	2
18	Zaragoza	3	0	2	1	-2	–	2
19	Cultural Leonesa	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
20	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0
21	Granada	3	0	0	3	-5	–	0
22	Mirandes	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+6	–	7
2	Mirandes	4	2	1	1	+3	–	7
3	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
4	Santander	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
5	Leganes	3	1	2	0	+2	–	5
6	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	Andorra	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
8	Burgos	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
9	Almeria	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
10	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
11	Castellon	3	1	0	2	-1	–	3
12	Sp Gijon	3	1	0	2	-1	–	3
13	Cultural Leonesa	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.1	3
14	Huesca	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
15	Cadiz	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
16	Albacete	3	0	2	1	-1	–	2
17	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
18	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1
19	Granada	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
20	Cordoba	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
21	Ceuta	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.3	1
22	Sociedad B	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.