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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Hull
T U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Sunderland
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 35%
32%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
57%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hull 21. · Sunderland 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 22 12 8 2 +20 44
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 +17 41
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 +7 35
5 Watford 22 9 7 6 +6 34
6 Preston 22 9 7 6 +1 34
7 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 +4 32
8 Millwall 22 9 5 8 +1 32
9 Reading 23 10 2 11 -7 32
10 QPR 22 9 4 9 -1 31
11 Swansea 22 8 7 7 -2 31
12 Middlesbrough 21 8 6 7 +5 30
13 Sunderland 21 8 5 8 +5 29
14 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
15 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 +0 27
16 West Brom 21 6 8 7 +1 26
17 Coventry 19 7 5 7 +1 26
18 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 -3 26
19 Stoke 22 7 5 10 -5 26
20 Cardiff 22 7 4 11 -8 25
21 Hull 22 7 4 11 -14 25
22 Wigan 22 6 6 10 -10 24
23 Blackpool 22 6 5 11 -9 23
24 Huddersfield 21 5 4 12 -8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Sunderland
14′
🔁 D. Ballard
↦ D. Batth
Jacob Greaves 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟥 Elliot Embleton
60′
🔁 D. Cirkin
↦ A. Alese
60′
🔁 R. Stewart
↦ E. Simms
61′
🔁 P. Roberts
↦ J. Clarke
O. Tufan 🔁
↦ T. Smith
71′
74′
R. Stewart 0–1
P. Roberts
D. Sinik 🔁
↦ L. Coyle
76′
H. Vale 🔁
↦ S. McLoughlin
81′
1–1 O. Tufan
R. Woods
82′
85′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ A. Diallo
93′
🟨 Lynden Gooch
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ingram G
2 L. Coyle D
33 C. Christie D
17 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
15 R. Woods M
24 J. Seri M
22 T. Smith M
27 R. Slater M
16 R. Longman M
19 Ó. Estupiñán F
Bench (7)
7 O. Tufan
11 D. Sinik
34 H. Vale
6 Tobias Figueiredo
32 T. Lo-Tutala
3 C. Elder
8 G. Docherty

Coach: L. Rosenior

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
11 L. Gooch D
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
42 A. Alese D
4 C. Evans M
24 D. Neil M
16 A. Diallo M
8 E. Embleton M
20 J. Clarke M
9 E. Simms F
Bench (7)
5 D. Ballard
3 D. Cirkin
14 R. Stewart
10 P. Roberts
17 A. Ba
19 J. Bennette
12 A. Bass

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U ✓
3,26
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.