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LaLiga2

Referee: L Bestard Servera

Malaga

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Burgos

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 6. · Burgos 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	22	12	5	5	+17	+0.5	41
2	Castellon	22	11	5	6	+11	+3.0	38
3	Las Palmas	22	10	8	4	+10	-0.4	38
4	La Coruna	22	10	7	5	+12	+2.7	37
5	Almeria	22	10	6	6	+9	+0.9	36
6	Malaga	22	10	5	7	+6	+1.1	35
7	Burgos	22	10	5	7	+6	+3.1	35
8	Cadiz	22	9	7	6	+1	-1.0	34
9	Sp Gijon	22	10	3	9	-1	+1.2	33
10	Cordoba	22	8	8	6	+2	+1.0	32
11	Ceuta	22	9	5	8	-4	-6.3	32
12	Valladolid	22	7	7	8	+1	+3.1	28
13	Andorra	22	7	7	8	-5	+0.8	28
14	Albacete	22	7	6	9	-7	+1.5	27
15	Leganes	22	6	8	8	+0	+2.0	26
16	Eibar	22	6	7	9	-3	+0.5	25
17	Cultural Leonesa	22	7	4	11	-10	-7.8	25
18	Sociedad B	22	6	6	10	-2	-1.2	24
19	Granada	22	4	11	7	-4	+0.1	23
20	Huesca	22	6	5	11	-11	+0.8	23
21	Zaragoza	22	5	6	11	-14	-2.8	21
22	Mirandes	22	4	5	13	-14	-3.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	12	7	2	3	+13	+0.7	23
2	Castellon	11	7	2	2	+10	+1.5	23
3	Malaga	11	6	4	1	+9	+1.7	22
4	Ceuta	11	7	1	3	+3	-1.2	22
5	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
6	Las Palmas	11	6	3	2	+9	+0.8	21
7	Almeria	11	6	2	3	+7	+2.5	20
8	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	+1.3	20
9	Sociedad B	11	5	4	2	+5	-1.5	19
10	Burgos	12	5	4	3	+4	+3.6	19
11	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+1	+1.6	18
12	La Coruna	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.4	16
13	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+0	+0.0	16
14	Cordoba	11	4	3	4	+0	-0.8	15
15	Valladolid	11	3	4	4	+2	+3.8	13
16	Granada	12	2	7	3	+0	+2.5	13
17	Andorra	10	3	4	3	+0	+1.0	13
18	Albacete	11	4	1	6	-7	+0.1	13
19	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	+1.9	9
20	Cultural Leonesa	11	2	3	6	-7	+0.3	9
21	Zaragoza	11	2	3	6	-10	+0.3	9
22	Mirandes	11	2	2	7	-10	-1.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	12	6	3	3	+8	+0.3	21
2	Santander	10	5	3	2	+4	-0.2	18
3	Leganes	12	4	5	3	+2	+0.1	17
4	Cordoba	11	4	5	2	+2	+1.8	17
5	Las Palmas	11	4	5	2	+1	-1.1	17
6	Almeria	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
7	Burgos	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.6	16
8	Cultural Leonesa	11	5	1	5	-3	-8.1	16
9	Castellon	11	4	3	4	+1	+1.5	15
10	Valladolid	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.7	15
11	Sp Gijon	11	5	0	6	-2	-0.3	15
12	Andorra	12	4	3	5	-5	-0.2	15
13	Albacete	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.4	14
14	Cadiz	11	3	5	3	-2	-2.3	14
15	Malaga	11	4	1	6	-3	-0.6	13
16	Zaragoza	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.1	12
17	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	-2.4	10
18	Ceuta	11	2	4	5	-7	-5.1	10
19	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
20	Huesca	11	2	1	8	-11	+0.7	7
21	Sociedad B	11	1	2	8	-7	+0.3	5
22	Eibar	11	0	4	7	-12	-4.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.