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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Trujillo
Burgos
T T U S U
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. May -22 Malaga – Burgos 0–1 27. Nov -21 Burgos – Malaga 3–0

Match report

Burgos Malaga
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Álex Gallar
↦ Fran Sol
1–0 Juan Artola ⚽
Fran García
62′
63′
🔁 Ramón Enríquez
↦ Jozabed
63′
🔁 Luis Muñoz
↦ Alberto Escassi
Pablo Valcarce 🟨
68′
71′
🟨 Aleix Febas
72′
🔁 Juande Rivas
↦ Juanfran
Borja González 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
77′
Miguel Atienza 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
77′
Grego Sierra 🟨
78′
Saúl Berjón 🔁
↦ Juan Artola
83′
86′
🔁 Loren Zúñiga
↦ Jonás Ramalho
Javi López 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
20 Grego Sierra D
3 Fran García D
8 Pablo Valcarce M
22 Miki Muñoz M
17 Andy M
10 Álex Bermejo M
7 Juan Artola F
Bench (8)
2 Borja González
5 Miguel Atienza
21 Saúl Berjón
27 Javi López
4 Míchel Zabaco
1 Dani Barrio
30 Iván Serrano
28 Saúl del Cerro

Coach: Julián Calero

Malaga

5-3-2
1 Manolo Reina G
2 Juanfran D
4 Unai Bustinza D
20 E. Burgos D
22 Jonás Ramalho D
3 Javi Jiménez D
19 Jozabed M
23 Alberto Escassi M
10 Aleix Febas M
24 Rubén Castro F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (9)
11 Álex Gallar
6 Ramón Enríquez
8 Luis Muñoz
5 Juande Rivas
29 Loren Zúñiga
34 H. Abaida
13 Rubén Yáñez
16 Genaro Rodríguez
27 Víctor Olmo

Coach: P. Guede

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
🔒
U
2,93
🔒
B
3,05
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,61
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,47
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Trujillo · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.