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LaLiga2

Referee: Andres Fuentes Molina

Burgos

T S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Eibar

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

55%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,51 xG 0,47

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 10. · Eibar 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	20	11	5	4	+15	+0.2	38
2	Las Palmas	20	10	7	3	+13	-0.1	37
3	Almeria	21	10	6	5	+10	+0.9	36
4	Castellon	20	10	4	6	+9	+3.2	34
5	Cadiz	21	9	7	5	+2	-0.8	34
6	La Coruna	20	9	6	5	+11	+2.7	33
7	Ceuta	20	9	5	6	+0	-4.0	32
8	Sp Gijon	21	9	3	9	-3	+1.2	30
9	Malaga	20	8	5	7	+4	-0.8	29
10	Burgos	20	8	5	7	+4	+1.5	29
11	Cordoba	20	7	8	5	+2	+0.6	29
12	Valladolid	20	6	7	7	+1	+3.9	25
13	Eibar	20	6	6	8	-2	+1.5	24
14	Andorra	20	6	6	8	-6	-0.5	24
15	Albacete	21	6	6	9	-8	+1.3	24
16	Cultural Leonesa	20	7	3	10	-8	-6.3	24
17	Leganes	20	5	8	7	-1	+1.2	23
18	Sociedad B	21	6	5	10	-2	-1.2	23
19	Huesca	20	6	5	9	-9	+1.3	23
20	Granada	20	4	9	7	-4	-0.1	21
21	Mirandes	21	4	5	12	-13	-3.2	17
22	Zaragoza	20	4	5	11	-15	-2.8	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ceuta	10	7	1	2	+6	-1.2	22
2	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
3	Santander	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.4	20
4	Las Palmas	10	6	2	2	+9	+0.8	20
5	Almeria	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
6	Castellon	10	6	2	2	+8	+1.5	20
7	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	+1.3	20
8	Malaga	10	5	4	1	+8	-0.6	19
9	Sociedad B	11	5	4	2	+5	-1.5	19
10	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+1	+1.6	18
11	La Coruna	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.4	16
12	Huesca	10	4	4	2	+1	+0.0	16
13	Cordoba	10	4	3	3	+1	-1.2	15
14	Valladolid	11	3	4	4	+2	+3.8	13
15	Burgos	10	3	4	3	+2	+2.1	13
16	Andorra	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
17	Granada	10	2	5	3	+0	+2.3	11
18	Albacete	10	3	1	6	-8	-0.1	10
19	Cultural Leonesa	10	2	3	5	-5	+0.3	9
20	Mirandes	10	2	2	6	-9	-1.5	8
21	Zaragoza	10	2	2	6	-10	+0.3	8
22	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-5	+1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	10	5	3	2	+4	-0.2	18
2	La Coruna	10	5	2	3	+7	+0.3	17
3	Leganes	11	4	5	2	+4	+0.1	17
4	Las Palmas	10	4	5	1	+4	-0.8	17
5	Almeria	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
6	Burgos	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.6	16
7	Cultural Leonesa	10	5	0	5	-3	-6.6	15
8	Castellon	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.7	14
9	Cordoba	10	3	5	2	+1	+1.8	14
10	Albacete	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.4	14
11	Cadiz	10	3	5	2	-1	-2.1	14
12	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	-1	+0.1	12
13	Sp Gijon	10	4	0	6	-4	-0.3	12
14	Andorra	11	3	3	5	-6	+0.0	12
15	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	-2.4	10
16	Malaga	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.2	10
17	Ceuta	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.8	10
18	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
19	Zaragoza	10	2	3	5	-5	-3.1	9
20	Huesca	10	2	1	7	-10	+1.3	7
21	Sociedad B	10	1	1	8	-7	+0.3	4
22	Eibar	9	0	3	6	-11	-2.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.