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LaLiga2
Referee: G Cid
Almeria
U T T S S
3–2
Full-time
Andorra
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Andorra
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
48%
28%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
72%
52%
Both score Ø 70%
72%
68%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 4. · Andorra 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 25 14 5 6 +18 +0.5 47
2 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
3 La Coruna 25 12 7 6 +13 +2.7 43
4 Almeria 25 12 6 7 +11 +0.9 42
5 Malaga 25 12 5 8 +9 +0.3 41
6 Las Palmas 25 10 10 5 +9 -0.4 40
7 Burgos 25 11 6 8 +4 +3.1 39
8 Sp Gijon 25 12 3 10 +2 +1.9 39
9 Cordoba 24 10 8 6 +5 +1.0 38
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 25 9 7 9 -2 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 25 9 6 10 -5 +2.3 33
13 Leganes 25 8 8 9 +2 +5.6 32
14 Eibar 25 8 8 9 -1 +0.5 32
15 Granada 25 6 11 8 -3 -0.4 29
16 Andorra 25 7 8 10 -8 +1.6 29
17 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
18 Valladolid 25 7 7 11 -6 +2.4 28
19 Huesca 25 7 6 12 -11 +0.4 27
20 Cultural Leonesa 25 7 4 14 -14 -9.0 25
21 Zaragoza 25 5 8 12 -16 -2.8 23
22 Mirandes 25 5 5 15 -17 -2.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -25 Andorra – Almeria 1–2

Match report

Almeria Andorra
1–0 S. Arribas
M. de la Fuente
9′
12′
🟨 Marc Domenech
39′
G. Jastin 1–1
T. Carrique
42′
🟨 Thomas Carrique
Half-time 1–1
Leo Baptistao 🔁
↦ J. Morcillo
46′
I. Baba 🔁
↦ Gui Guedes
46′
D. Chirino 🔁
↦ M. Luna
46′
52′
D. Villahermosa 1–2
54′
🔁 A. Olabarrieta
↦ Y. Cabanzon
2–2 M. de la Fuente
F. Bonini
58′
A. Puigmal 🔁
↦ A. Embarba
59′
Daijiro Chirino 🟨
68′
70′
Lautaro De León
penalty missed
74′
🔁 Alvaro
↦ G. Jastin
74′
🔁 J. Cerda
↦ M. Kim
Iddrisu Baba 🟨
77′
Thalys 🔁
↦ M. de la Fuente
79′
3–2 Leo Baptistao
A. Puigmal
83′
86′
🔁 M. Bombardo Poyato
↦ G. Alonso
86′
🔁 M. Cardona
↦ M. Domenech
90′
🟨 Lautaro De León
95′
🟨 Imanol García de Albéniz
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
8 Gui Guedes M
29 S. Dzodic M
23 A. Embarba M
11 S. Arribas M
7 J. Morcillo M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (10)
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
2 A. Puigmal
5 Rodrigo Ely
9 Thalys
12 Leo Baptistao
14 I. Baba
20 A. Centelles
21 Chumi
22 D. Chirino

Coach: Joan Rubi

Andorra

4-4-1-1
25 A. Yaakobishvili G
17 T. Carrique D
4 G. Alonso D
14 S. Molina D
19 I. Garcia D
3 Y. Cabanzon M
6 D. Villahermosa M
18 M. Domenech M
16 G. Jastin M
29 M. Kim F
11 Lauti F
Bench (12)
1 N. Ratti
13 J. Owono
2 A. Petxa
5 M. Bombardo Poyato
8 E. Akman
10 Alvaro
15 A. Olabarrieta
20 M. Vila
21 J. Cerda
22 M. Cardona
23 D. Alende
24 T. Le Normand

Coach: Carles Manso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,78
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Cid · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.