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LaLiga2
Referee: S Ais
Granada
S T T S T
2–4
Full-time
Almeria
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 42%
31%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
42%
72%
Both score Ø 63%
53%
72%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 14. · Almeria 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 36 21 5 10 +20 -1.1 68
2 La Coruna 37 18 11 8 +17 +1.2 65
3 Castellon 37 18 10 9 +18 +6.0 64
4 Almeria 36 19 7 10 +16 +1.6 64
5 Eibar 37 17 10 10 +13 +6.4 61
6 Burgos 37 17 10 10 +11 +5.3 61
7 Las Palmas 36 16 12 8 +17 +2.4 60
8 Malaga 37 17 9 11 +15 +6.3 60
9 Cordoba 37 15 9 13 -3 +4.0 54
10 Andorra 36 14 10 12 +5 +2.0 52
11 Sp Gijon 37 15 7 15 +3 +2.3 52
12 Ceuta 36 14 8 14 -13 -14.8 50
13 Albacete 37 12 11 14 -3 +2.0 47
14 Granada 36 11 12 13 +0 +0.7 45
15 Valladolid 37 11 10 16 -8 +2.2 43
16 Leganes 36 10 12 14 +0 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 37 11 8 18 -8 -9.3 41
18 Cadiz 36 10 8 18 -18 -7.4 38
19 Zaragoza 36 8 11 17 -16 +2.9 35
20 Huesca 36 8 9 19 -19 -0.4 33
21 Mirandes 36 8 9 19 -21 -6.1 33
22 Cultural Leonesa 36 8 8 20 -26 -9.2 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Almeria
1–0 P. Aleman ⚽
S. Ruiz
11′
14′
⚽ S. Arribas 1–1
18′
⚽ S. Arribas 1–2
A. Embarba
35′
ℹ️ Rodrigo Ely
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Sergio Ruiz Alonso 🟨
37′
38′
⚽ S. Arribas 1–3
Half-time 1–3
P. Saenz 🔁
↦ S. Ruiz
46′
I. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ D. Hormigo
46′
62′
🟨 Stefan Džodić
66′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ Leo Baptistao
68′
⚽ M. de la Fuente 1–4
A. Munoz
B. Diocou 🔁
↦ G. Petit
69′
P. Casadesus 🔁
↦ A. Lemos
69′
73′
🔁 Chumi
↦ M. Luna
80′
🔁 Thalys
↦ M. de la Fuente
80′
🔁 A. Horta
↦ D. Lopy
80′
🔁 J. Morcillo
↦ A. Embarba
S. Rodelas 🔁
↦ B. Diallo
83′
Baba 🟨
84′
A. Astralaga 🔁
↦ L. Zidane
90′
2–4 P. Saenz ⚽
R. Alcaraz
90′
91′
🔁 A. Centelles
↦ A. Munoz
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Granada

5-3-2
1 L. Zidane G
18 A. Lemos D
28 O. Naasei D
24 L. Williams D
3 D. Hormigo D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
20 S. Ruiz M
4 R. Alcaraz M
9 G. Petit F
11 J. M. Arnaiz F
Bench (11)
13 A. Astralaga
10 M. Bouldini
21 P. Saenz
14 M. Trigueros
17 B. Diaby
23 L. Gagnidze
40 B. Diocou
2 P. Casadesus
41 I. Gonzalez
26 S. Rodelas
36 Juanjo

Coach: Pacheta

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
5 Rodrigo Ely D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
17 D. Lopy M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (11)
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
21 Chumi
2 A. Puigmal
9 Thalys
4 N. Monte
6 A. Horta
7 J. Morcillo
19 P. Soko
20 A. Centelles
8 Gui Guedes

Coach: Joan Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U
3,05
B ✓
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Ais · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.