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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Hibernian

U U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Hearts

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 52%

39%

64%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 45%

48%

42%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,52 xG 1,83

24% Possession 76%

4 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 9

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 11

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	33	21	7	5	+30	+12.3	70
2	Celtic	34	22	4	8	+26	+21.4	70
3	Rangers	34	19	12	3	+34	+21.2	69
4	Motherwell	34	15	12	7	+24	+10.2	57
5	Hibernian	33	13	12	8	+14	+3.8	51
6	Falkirk	34	13	7	14	-5	+3.0	46
7	Dundee United	34	10	13	11	-6	-10.6	43
8	Aberdeen	34	10	6	18	-14	-14.1	36
9	Dundee	34	8	9	17	-22	-11.8	33
10	St Mirren	34	7	9	18	-23	-3.4	30
11	Kilmarnock	34	6	10	18	-29	-14.5	28
12	Livingston	34	2	13	19	-29	-17.5	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	17	13	4	0	+22	+7.8	43
2	Celtic	17	13	1	3	+24	+15.7	40
3	Rangers	18	11	5	2	+19	+16.1	38
4	Motherwell	17	10	5	2	+20	+12.1	35
5	Hibernian	16	8	6	2	+16	+9.1	30
6	Dundee United	18	7	6	5	+2	-3.0	27
7	Aberdeen	17	6	5	6	+5	-5.2	23
8	Falkirk	17	6	5	6	+3	+5.4	23
9	Dundee	16	6	4	6	-2	-6.8	22
10	St Mirren	17	5	5	7	-8	+1.8	20
11	Kilmarnock	17	5	4	8	-5	-0.6	19
12	Livingston	16	1	7	8	-9	-6.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	16	8	7	1	+15	+5.1	31
2	Celtic	17	9	3	5	+2	+5.7	30
3	Hearts	16	8	3	5	+8	+4.5	27
4	Falkirk	17	7	2	8	-8	-2.4	23
5	Motherwell	17	5	7	5	+4	-1.9	22
6	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.3	21
7	Dundee United	16	3	7	6	-8	-7.7	16
8	Aberdeen	17	4	1	12	-19	-8.9	13
9	Dundee	18	2	5	11	-20	-5.1	11
10	St Mirren	17	2	4	11	-15	-5.2	10
11	Livingston	18	1	6	11	-20	-11.0	9
12	Kilmarnock	17	1	6	10	-24	-13.9	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.