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LaLiga2

Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Almeria

U T S T T

3–2

Full-time

Granada

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

47%

21%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

68%

42%

Both score Ø 63%

68%

58%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 7

14 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 4. · Granada 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	19	11	4	4	+15	+0.2	37
2	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	+12	+0.6	34
3	La Coruna	19	9	5	5	+11	+2.7	32
4	Almeria	19	9	5	5	+9	-0.1	32
5	Castellon	19	9	4	6	+6	+3.2	31
6	Cadiz	19	8	6	5	+1	-0.8	30
7	Sp Gijon	19	9	3	7	+0	+1.1	30
8	Burgos	19	8	5	6	+6	+1.5	29
9	Ceuta	19	8	5	6	-1	-3.2	29
10	Malaga	19	7	5	7	+2	-0.7	26
11	Cordoba	19	6	8	5	+0	+0.6	26
12	Valladolid	19	6	6	7	+1	+3.9	24
13	Eibar	20	6	6	8	-2	+1.5	24
14	Andorra	19	6	6	7	-5	-1.2	24
15	Cultural Leonesa	20	7	3	10	-8	-6.3	24
16	Albacete	19	6	5	8	-6	-0.7	23
17	Huesca	19	6	5	8	-6	+1.3	23
18	Sociedad B	20	6	4	10	-2	+0.7	22
19	Granada	19	4	9	6	-3	-0.1	21
20	Leganes	19	4	8	7	-3	+1.3	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	5	10	-14	-3.5	17
22	Mirandes	20	4	4	12	-13	-2.1	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
2	Santander	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.4	20
3	Las Palmas	10	6	2	2	+9	+0.8	20
4	Malaga	10	5	4	1	+8	-0.6	19
5	Ceuta	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.4	19
6	Sociedad B	10	5	3	2	+5	+0.4	18
7	Sp Gijon	10	5	3	2	+3	+1.5	18
8	Almeria	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.5	17
9	Castellon	9	5	2	2	+5	+1.5	17
10	Cadiz	10	5	2	3	+2	+1.3	17
11	Huesca	10	4	4	2	+1	+0.0	16
12	La Coruna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.4	15
13	Burgos	10	3	4	3	+2	+2.1	13
14	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	+2	+3.8	12
15	Andorra	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
16	Cordoba	9	3	3	3	-1	-1.2	12
17	Granada	10	2	5	3	+0	+2.3	11
18	Albacete	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.2	10
19	Cultural Leonesa	10	2	3	5	-5	+0.3	9
20	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-9	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	9	2	1	6	-9	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-5	+1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	10	5	2	3	+7	+0.3	17
2	Santander	9	5	2	2	+4	-0.2	17
3	Burgos	9	5	1	3	+4	-0.6	16
4	Almeria	10	4	3	3	+2	-2.6	15
5	Cultural Leonesa	10	5	0	5	-3	-6.6	15
6	Las Palmas	9	3	5	1	+3	-0.1	14
7	Leganes	10	3	5	2	+2	+0.2	14
8	Castellon	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.7	14
9	Cordoba	10	3	5	2	+1	+1.8	14
10	Albacete	10	3	4	3	+0	-0.5	13
11	Cadiz	9	3	4	2	-1	-2.1	13
12	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	-1	+0.1	12
13	Sp Gijon	9	4	0	5	-3	-0.3	12
14	Andorra	10	3	3	4	-5	-0.7	12
15	Granada	9	2	4	3	-3	-2.4	10
16	Ceuta	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.8	10
17	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
18	Zaragoza	10	2	3	5	-5	-3.1	9
19	Malaga	9	2	1	6	-6	-0.1	7
20	Huesca	9	2	1	6	-7	+1.3	7
21	Sociedad B	10	1	1	8	-7	+0.3	4
22	Eibar	9	0	3	6	-11	-2.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.