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Superligaen

Midtjylland

T S T U T

4–0

Full-time

Aarhus

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Superligaen · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 49%

55%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

61%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Aarhus 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brondby	31	18	4	9	+18	58
2	Midtjylland	31	17	6	8	+20	57
3	FC Copenhagen	31	16	7	8	+9	55
4	Aarhus	31	13	9	9	+10	48
5	Aalborg	32	12	10	10	+3	46
6	Sonderjyske	32	13	5	14	-3	44
7	Nordsjaelland	31	11	10	10	+2	43
8	Odense	32	11	10	11	+1	43
9	Vejle	32	9	11	12	-8	38
10	Randers FC	31	10	7	14	+4	37
11	Lyngby	32	6	8	18	-27	26
12	Horsens	32	5	9	18	-29	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	11	2	2	+22	35
2	Brondby	15	9	4	2	+11	31
3	FC Copenhagen	16	9	4	3	+9	31
4	Aarhus	16	9	1	6	+11	28
5	Nordsjaelland	16	8	4	4	+7	28
6	Aalborg	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Odense	16	7	5	4	+5	26
8	Sonderjyske	16	8	2	6	+2	26
9	Vejle	16	5	7	4	+2	22
10	Randers FC	15	5	3	7	+2	18
11	Horsens	16	3	5	8	-10	14
12	Lyngby	16	1	7	8	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brondby	16	9	0	7	+7	27
2	FC Copenhagen	15	7	3	5	+0	24
3	Midtjylland	16	6	4	6	-2	22
4	Aarhus	15	4	8	3	-1	20
5	Randers FC	16	5	4	7	+2	19
6	Aalborg	16	4	6	6	-1	18
7	Sonderjyske	16	5	3	8	-5	18
8	Odense	16	4	5	7	-4	17
9	Vejle	16	4	4	8	-10	16
10	Lyngby	16	5	1	10	-12	16
11	Nordsjaelland	15	3	6	6	-5	15
12	Horsens	16	2	4	10	-19	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.