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Superligaen
Aarhus
U S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
34%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
48%
62%
Both score Ø 64%
59%
69%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Nordsjaelland 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 30 17 6 7 +22 57
2 Brondby 30 17 4 9 +17 55
3 FC Copenhagen 30 15 7 8 +7 52
4 Aarhus 29 12 9 8 +9 45
5 Nordsjaelland 29 10 10 9 +3 40
6 Aalborg 30 10 10 10 -2 40
7 Sonderjyske 29 11 5 13 -2 38
8 Randers FC 30 10 7 13 +5 37
9 Odense 30 9 10 11 -4 37
10 Vejle 30 9 10 11 -7 37
11 Lyngby 29 6 7 16 -24 25
12 Horsens 30 5 9 16 -24 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.