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Superligaen

Aarhus

S S T S T

3–0

Full-time

Midtjylland

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Superligaen · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 66%

53%

78%

Points per game

1,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Midtjylland 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	32	25	3	4	+33	78
2	FC Copenhagen	33	19	5	9	+16	62
3	Aarhus	32	17	6	9	+13	57
4	Brondby	33	15	7	11	+14	52
5	Aalborg	33	14	6	13	+9	48
6	Randers FC	33	14	6	13	+7	48
7	Nordsjaelland	33	13	7	13	+9	46
8	Horsens	32	13	7	12	-14	46
9	Odense	33	12	7	14	+0	43
10	Sonderjyske	32	9	11	12	-12	38
11	Lyngby	32	9	7	16	-20	34
12	Hobro	32	5	15	12	-13	30
13	Silkeborg	32	6	8	18	-16	26
14	Esbjerg	32	5	7	20	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	12	2	2	+17	38
2	Brondby	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	Randers FC	17	10	3	4	+14	33
4	Midtjylland	16	10	2	4	+11	32
5	Aarhus	16	9	3	4	+8	30
6	Aalborg	17	9	2	6	+6	29
7	Odense	16	8	3	5	+9	27
8	Lyngby	16	8	3	5	-2	27
9	Nordsjaelland	17	7	5	5	+10	26
10	Sonderjyske	16	6	6	4	-1	24
11	Horsens	16	7	3	6	-7	24
12	Esbjerg	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Hobro	16	2	10	4	-5	16
14	Silkeborg	16	4	2	10	-6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	16	15	1	0	+22	46
2	Aarhus	16	8	3	5	+5	27
3	FC Copenhagen	17	7	3	7	-1	24
4	Horsens	16	6	4	6	-7	22
5	Nordsjaelland	16	6	2	8	-1	20
6	Aalborg	16	5	4	7	+3	19
7	Brondby	17	5	4	8	+0	19
8	Odense	17	4	4	9	-9	16
9	Randers FC	16	4	3	9	-7	15
10	Hobro	16	3	5	8	-8	14
11	Sonderjyske	16	3	5	8	-11	14
12	Silkeborg	16	2	6	8	-10	12
13	Lyngby	16	1	4	11	-18	7
14	Esbjerg	16	1	3	12	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.