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Superligaen

Midtjylland

S T S S U

3–4

Full-time

Aarhus

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 67%

79%

54%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

39%

57%

Both score Ø 49%

36%

61%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 1. · Aarhus 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	28	22	3	3	+30	69
2	FC Copenhagen	29	19	4	6	+20	61
3	Aarhus	28	15	6	7	+15	51
4	Nordsjaelland	29	13	6	10	+16	45
5	Brondby	29	13	6	10	+10	45
6	Randers FC	29	11	6	12	+6	39
7	Aalborg	29	11	5	13	+3	38
8	Horsens	29	10	7	12	-19	37
9	Odense	28	10	6	12	+0	36
10	Sonderjyske	29	8	9	12	-13	33
11	Lyngby	28	9	6	13	-15	33
12	Hobro	29	4	15	10	-12	27
13	Esbjerg	29	5	7	17	-22	22
14	Silkeborg	29	4	8	17	-19	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	14	12	1	1	+18	37
2	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+10	30
3	Midtjylland	14	9	2	3	+10	29
4	Randers FC	14	8	3	3	+14	27
5	Aarhus	14	8	3	3	+10	27
6	Lyngby	14	8	2	4	-1	26
7	Nordsjaelland	14	7	4	3	+13	25
8	Odense	14	7	3	4	+9	24
9	Aalborg	15	7	2	6	+3	23
10	Horsens	15	6	3	6	-8	21
11	Sonderjyske	14	5	5	4	-2	20
12	Esbjerg	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Hobro	14	1	10	3	-5	13
14	Silkeborg	15	3	2	10	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	13	1	0	+20	40
2	Aarhus	14	7	3	4	+5	24
3	FC Copenhagen	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	Nordsjaelland	15	6	2	7	+3	20
5	Horsens	14	4	4	6	-11	16
6	Aalborg	14	4	3	7	+0	15
7	Brondby	14	4	3	7	+0	15
8	Hobro	15	3	5	7	-7	14
9	Sonderjyske	15	3	4	8	-11	13
10	Randers FC	15	3	3	9	-8	12
11	Odense	14	3	3	8	-9	12
12	Silkeborg	14	1	6	7	-11	9
13	Lyngby	14	1	4	9	-14	7
14	Esbjerg	14	1	3	10	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.