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Superligaen

Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen

Aarhus

U S T U S

2–1

Full-time

Randers FC

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Randers FC 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	13	9	2	2	+13	+8.5	29
2	Brondby	13	9	1	3	+12	+3.0	28
3	Silkeborg	13	8	2	3	+13	+8.6	26
4	Midtjylland	13	7	3	3	+2	+1.7	24
5	Nordsjaelland	13	6	4	3	+13	+6.1	22
6	Aarhus	12	4	5	3	+0	+5.2	17
7	Lyngby	13	4	3	6	-7	-3.9	15
8	Randers FC	12	3	5	4	-9	-2.7	14
9	Viborg	13	3	4	6	-8	+2.1	13
10	Odense	13	3	3	7	-3	-4.9	12
11	Vejle	13	2	3	8	-5	-13.8	9
12	Hvidovre IF	13	0	3	10	-21	-9.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	7	5	1	1	+10	+8.9	16
2	FC Copenhagen	7	5	0	2	+8	+7.1	15
3	Midtjylland	7	4	2	1	+4	+1.9	14
4	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+5	+3.4	12
5	Nordsjaelland	6	3	2	1	+7	+2.8	11
6	Viborg	6	2	3	1	+0	+2.1	9
7	Randers FC	6	2	3	1	-3	+1.1	9
8	Lyngby	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.2	8
9	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	-3	+2.2	8
10	Vejle	7	1	2	4	-2	-6.9	5
11	Odense	7	0	2	5	-7	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	6	0	0	6	-13	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	7	5	1	1	+7	-0.4	16
2	FC Copenhagen	6	4	2	0	+5	+1.4	14
3	Nordsjaelland	7	3	2	2	+6	+3.4	11
4	Odense	6	3	1	2	+4	-3.6	10
5	Silkeborg	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.3	10
6	Midtjylland	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.1	10
7	Aarhus	6	2	3	1	+3	+3.0	9
8	Lyngby	7	2	1	4	-8	-1.8	7
9	Randers FC	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	Vejle	6	1	1	4	-3	-6.9	4
11	Viborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-0.0	4
12	Hvidovre IF	7	0	3	4	-8	-8.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.