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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Viborg

T T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 9. · Aarhus 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	10	7	1	2	+8	+4.2	22
2	Brondby	10	7	0	3	+10	+1.8	21
3	Nordsjaelland	10	5	4	1	+13	+5.2	19
4	Silkeborg	10	6	1	3	+7	+6.6	19
5	Midtjylland	10	5	2	3	+0	+1.7	17
6	Aarhus	9	3	4	2	-1	+4.0	13
7	Lyngby	9	3	3	3	+0	-1.2	12
8	Randers FC	10	3	3	4	-9	-2.7	12
9	Viborg	9	2	3	4	-6	+0.9	9
10	Odense	9	2	2	5	-2	-3.6	8
11	Vejle	10	1	2	7	-6	-11.4	5
12	Hvidovre IF	10	0	3	7	-14	-5.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.9	12
2	Nordsjaelland	5	3	2	0	+8	+1.9	11
3	Midtjylland	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.9	10
4	FC Copenhagen	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.8	9
5	Lyngby	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
6	Randers FC	5	2	2	1	-3	+1.1	8
7	Aarhus	5	2	1	2	-3	+2.2	7
8	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+3	+2.2	6
9	Viborg	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.6	6
10	Odense	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.3	2
11	Vejle	5	0	1	4	-4	-5.6	1
12	Hvidovre IF	5	0	0	5	-12	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	6	5	0	1	+7	-0.4	15
2	FC Copenhagen	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.4	13
3	Nordsjaelland	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.3	8
4	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.3	7
5	Midtjylland	5	2	1	2	-3	-0.1	7
6	Odense	4	2	0	2	+3	-2.3	6
7	Aarhus	4	1	3	0	+2	+1.8	6
8	Vejle	5	1	1	3	-2	-5.8	4
9	Lyngby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.2	4
10	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.8	4
11	Hvidovre IF	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.9	3
12	Viborg	5	1	0	4	-7	-1.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.