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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Aarhus

U T U S T

1–1

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

0,8

2,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

30%

70%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

40%

70%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aarhus 7. · FC Copenhagen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	11	8	0	3	+11	+2.6	24
2	Silkeborg	11	7	1	3	+12	+8.2	22
3	FC Copenhagen	10	7	1	2	+8	+4.2	22
4	Nordsjaelland	11	5	4	2	+12	+6.1	19
5	Midtjylland	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.7	18
6	Lyngby	11	4	3	4	-4	-2.7	15
7	Aarhus	10	3	4	3	-2	+4.0	13
8	Randers FC	11	3	4	4	-9	-2.7	13
9	Viborg	11	3	3	5	-6	+0.1	12
10	Odense	11	3	2	6	-2	-4.5	11
11	Vejle	11	2	2	7	-4	-10.2	8
12	Hvidovre IF	11	0	3	8	-16	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.4	15
2	Nordsjaelland	6	3	2	1	+7	+2.8	11
3	Midtjylland	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.9	11
4	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+4	+3.0	9
5	FC Copenhagen	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.8	9
6	Viborg	5	2	3	0	+2	+2.6	9
7	Lyngby	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
8	Randers FC	5	2	2	1	-3	+1.1	8
9	Aarhus	5	2	1	2	-3	+2.2	7
10	Vejle	6	1	1	4	-2	-4.4	4
11	Odense	6	0	2	4	-6	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	5	0	0	5	-12	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	6	5	0	1	+7	-0.4	15
2	FC Copenhagen	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.4	13
3	Odense	5	3	0	2	+4	-3.2	9
4	Nordsjaelland	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.3	8
5	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.3	7
6	Midtjylland	5	2	1	2	-3	-0.1	7
7	Lyngby	6	2	1	3	-7	-1.8	7
8	Aarhus	5	1	3	1	+1	+1.8	6
9	Randers FC	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	Vejle	5	1	1	3	-2	-5.8	4
11	Hvidovre IF	6	0	3	3	-4	-5.1	3
12	Viborg	6	1	0	5	-8	-2.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.