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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Burgos
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 14. · Zaragoza 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 13 9 1 3 +15 28
2 Eibar 13 8 1 4 +8 25
3 Sp Gijon 13 7 3 3 +7 24
4 Espanol 13 7 2 4 +8 23
5 Levante 13 6 5 2 +4 23
6 Tenerife 13 7 2 4 +4 23
7 Valladolid 13 7 1 5 +0 22
8 Santander 13 6 3 4 +4 21
9 Zaragoza 12 6 2 4 +4 20
10 Ferrol 13 5 5 3 +1 20
11 Elche 13 5 4 4 -3 19
12 Oviedo 13 4 5 4 +4 17
13 Mirandes 13 5 2 6 -1 17
14 Burgos 12 5 1 6 -2 16
15 Eldense 13 4 4 5 -4 16
16 Andorra 13 5 1 7 -4 16
17 Albacete 13 4 3 6 -6 15
18 Villarreal B 13 3 4 6 -3 13
19 Amorebieta 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Alcorcon 13 2 4 7 -11 10
21 Huesca 13 1 6 6 -6 9
22 Cartagena 13 1 3 9 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Zaragoza
26′
🟨 Sinan Bakış
38′
Víctor Mollejo 0–1
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Víctor Mollejo
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
54′
67′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ S. Bakış
67′
🔁 Alberto Vaquero
↦ Víctor Mollejo
Unai Elgezabal 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
69′
Álex Sancris 🔁
↦ K. Appin
69′
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
75′
Andy Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
75′
77′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Iván Azón
77′
🔁 Sergio Bermejo
↦ Germán Valera
Matos 🟨
81′
88′
🔁 Lluís López
↦ Marc Aguado
Raúl Navarro 🟨
91′
1–1 José Matos
Andy Rodríguez
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
7 Dani Ojeda M
12 K. Appin F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (11)
9 Fer Niño
14 Unai Elgezabal
11 Álex Sancris
8 Ander Martín
17 Andy Rodríguez
1 L. Badiashile
30 Lucas Ricoy
27 Javi López
29 Rubén de Gea
2 Borja González
24 E. Saveljich

Coach: Bolo

Zaragoza

4-4-2
35 Dani Rebollo G
38 Andrés Borge D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
22 Q. Lecoeuche D
7 Germán Valera M
8 Marc Aguado M
5 Jaume Grau M
20 Víctor Mollejo M
12 S. Bakış F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (11)
19 Manu Vallejo
26 Alberto Vaquero
23 Sergi Enrich
10 Sergio Bermejo
24 Lluís López
27 Marcos Luna
13 G. Poussin
21 Toni Moya
36 Guillermo Acín
15 S. Mouriño
31 Juan Serrano

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U ✓
2,93
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.