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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Randers FC

T T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Aarhus

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

75%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,70 xG 1,21

45% Possession 55%

4 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 10. · Aarhus 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	9	7	1	1	+10	+4.2	22
2	Silkeborg	9	6	1	2	+8	+6.7	19
3	Brondby	9	6	0	3	+7	+1.8	18
4	Nordsjaelland	8	5	2	1	+13	+3.0	17
5	Lyngby	9	3	3	3	+0	-1.2	12
6	Aarhus	8	3	3	2	-1	+3.4	12
7	Midtjylland	8	3	2	3	-3	+0.1	11
8	Viborg	9	2	3	4	-6	+0.9	9
9	Odense	8	2	2	4	-1	-2.0	8
10	Randers FC	8	2	2	4	-10	-2.2	8
11	Vejle	9	1	1	7	-6	-9.1	4
12	Hvidovre IF	8	0	2	6	-11	-5.6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.9	12
2	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+8	+1.9	10
3	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	+5	+2.8	9
4	Lyngby	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
5	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.3	7
6	Aarhus	5	2	1	2	-3	+2.2	7
7	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+3	+2.2	6
8	Viborg	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.6	6
9	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-4	+1.6	4
10	Odense	5	0	2	3	-5	-1.3	2
11	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-4	-3.4	0
12	Hvidovre IF	4	0	0	4	-9	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.4	13
2	Brondby	5	4	0	1	+4	-0.4	12
3	Nordsjaelland	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.1	7
4	Silkeborg	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.2	7
5	Odense	3	2	0	1	+4	-0.7	6
6	Aarhus	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
7	Vejle	5	1	1	3	-2	-5.8	4
8	Lyngby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.2	4
9	Midtjylland	4	1	1	2	-5	-0.1	4
10	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.8	4
11	Viborg	5	1	0	4	-7	-1.7	3
12	Hvidovre IF	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.