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Superligaen

Referee: A Uslu

Nordsjaelland

T S S U T

0–0

Full-time

Aarhus

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

47%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

47%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 1,41

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 5. · Aarhus 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	10	3	3	+14	+10.9	33
2	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+12	+2.2	30
3	Midtjylland	15	9	3	3	+7	+5.1	30
4	Silkeborg	15	8	3	4	+12	+10.8	27
5	Nordsjaelland	15	7	4	4	+12	+8.9	25
6	Aarhus	15	6	6	3	+3	+6.0	24
7	Viborg	16	5	4	7	-8	-2.7	19
8	Lyngby	15	4	4	7	-8	-3.7	16
9	Randers FC	15	3	6	6	-12	-2.5	15
10	Odense	15	3	4	8	-5	-6.6	13
11	Vejle	16	3	4	9	-5	-15.7	13
12	Hvidovre IF	16	1	4	11	-22	-12.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	8	5	2	1	+10	+8.9	17
2	Midtjylland	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.4	17
3	FC Copenhagen	8	5	1	2	+8	+8.0	16
4	Viborg	8	4	3	1	+2	-1.9	15
5	Nordsjaelland	7	4	2	1	+8	+6.1	14
6	Aarhus	8	4	2	2	+0	+3.0	14
7	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+3.4	13
8	Lyngby	7	2	3	2	+1	-0.5	9
9	Randers FC	7	2	3	2	-5	+1.3	9
10	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-5.4	8
11	Odense	8	0	2	6	-9	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	8	0	1	7	-16	-4.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.2	17
2	FC Copenhagen	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.9	17
3	Midtjylland	7	4	1	2	+1	+2.7	13
4	Nordsjaelland	8	3	2	3	+4	+2.8	11
5	Odense	7	3	2	2	+4	-5.2	11
6	Aarhus	7	2	4	1	+3	+3.0	10
7	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	+2	+1.9	10
8	Lyngby	8	2	1	5	-9	-3.2	7
9	Hvidovre IF	8	1	3	4	-6	-8.3	6
10	Randers FC	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.8	6
11	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-4	-10.3	5
12	Viborg	8	1	1	6	-10	-0.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.