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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Aarhus

T S U T T

1–3

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

33%

52%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

41%

48%

Both score Ø 58%

59%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Nordsjaelland 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	27	16	8	3	+26	+6.7	56
2	FC Copenhagen	27	16	4	7	+23	+16.8	52
3	Midtjylland	27	16	4	7	+16	+13.2	52
4	Nordsjaelland	27	14	8	5	+22	+4.5	50
5	Aarhus	27	9	11	7	-2	+3.6	38
6	Randers FC	27	8	10	9	-7	+0.6	34
7	Viborg	27	9	7	11	-8	-3.7	34
8	Silkeborg	27	9	5	13	-4	+6.9	32
9	Odense	27	6	8	13	-11	-7.4	26
10	Lyngby	27	6	8	13	-17	-5.8	26
11	Vejle	27	5	9	13	-8	-18.7	24
12	Hvidovre IF	27	4	6	17	-30	-16.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	14	8	5	1	+17	+5.7	29
2	FC Copenhagen	14	9	1	4	+15	+12.8	28
3	Midtjylland	13	8	3	2	+14	+9.1	27
4	Brondby	13	8	3	2	+14	+7.1	27
5	Viborg	14	7	4	3	+6	-1.2	25
6	Silkeborg	14	6	3	5	+5	+7.9	21
7	Lyngby	14	4	7	3	+3	+1.2	19
8	Aarhus	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.0	19
9	Randers FC	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.5	17
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-1	-5.6	13
11	Hvidovre IF	13	1	2	10	-20	-4.8	5
12	Odense	14	0	3	11	-18	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	14	8	5	1	+12	-0.4	29
2	Midtjylland	14	8	1	5	+2	+4.0	25
3	FC Copenhagen	13	7	3	3	+8	+4.0	24
4	Odense	13	6	5	2	+7	-4.0	23
5	Nordsjaelland	13	6	3	4	+5	-1.2	21
6	Aarhus	14	4	7	3	-1	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-5	-2.9	17
8	Hvidovre IF	14	3	4	7	-10	-11.7	13
9	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-7	-13.1	11
10	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-9	-1.0	11
11	Viborg	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.6	9
12	Lyngby	13	2	1	10	-20	-6.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.