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Superligaen

Referee: S Putros

FC Copenhagen

S T T U S

3–2

Full-time

Aarhus

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 47%

58%

35%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

65%

38%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

58%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Copenhagen 4. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	27	16	8	3	+26	+6.7	56
2	Midtjylland	26	16	4	6	+19	+13.2	52
3	Nordsjaelland	27	14	8	5	+22	+4.5	50
4	FC Copenhagen	26	15	4	7	+22	+16.8	49
5	Aarhus	26	9	11	6	-1	+3.6	38
6	Randers FC	27	8	10	9	-7	+0.6	34
7	Viborg	27	9	7	11	-8	-3.7	34
8	Silkeborg	26	8	5	13	-7	+6.9	29
9	Odense	27	6	8	13	-11	-7.4	26
10	Lyngby	27	6	8	13	-17	-5.8	26
11	Vejle	27	5	9	13	-8	-18.7	24
12	Hvidovre IF	27	4	6	17	-30	-16.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	14	8	5	1	+17	+5.7	29
2	Midtjylland	13	8	3	2	+14	+9.1	27
3	Brondby	13	8	3	2	+14	+7.1	27
4	FC Copenhagen	13	8	1	4	+14	+12.8	25
5	Viborg	14	7	4	3	+6	-1.2	25
6	Lyngby	14	4	7	3	+3	+1.2	19
7	Aarhus	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.0	19
8	Silkeborg	13	5	3	5	+2	+7.9	18
9	Randers FC	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.5	17
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-1	-5.6	13
11	Hvidovre IF	13	1	2	10	-20	-4.8	5
12	Odense	14	0	3	11	-18	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	14	8	5	1	+12	-0.4	29
2	Midtjylland	13	8	1	4	+5	+4.0	25
3	FC Copenhagen	13	7	3	3	+8	+4.0	24
4	Odense	13	6	5	2	+7	-4.0	23
5	Nordsjaelland	13	6	3	4	+5	-1.2	21
6	Aarhus	13	4	7	2	+0	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-5	-2.9	17
8	Hvidovre IF	14	3	4	7	-10	-11.7	13
9	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-7	-13.1	11
10	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-9	-1.0	11
11	Viborg	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.6	9
12	Lyngby	13	2	1	10	-20	-6.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.