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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Randers FC

S T S T U

3–2

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

43%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 68%

68%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 5. · Nordsjaelland 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	28	15	8	5	+17	+11.8	53
2	Midtjylland	28	16	4	8	+18	+4.9	52
3	Brondby	28	12	11	5	+15	+8.0	47
4	Silkeborg	28	11	9	8	+14	+5.4	42
5	Randers FC	28	11	9	8	+9	+8.1	42
6	Nordsjaelland	28	12	6	10	-1	+7.0	42
7	Aarhus	28	10	10	8	+14	+10.7	40
8	Viborg	28	10	10	8	+5	-3.5	40
9	Sonderjyske	28	8	6	14	-21	-14.5	30
10	Lyngby	28	4	11	13	-13	-6.0	23
11	Aalborg	28	5	8	15	-28	-20.6	23
12	Vejle	28	5	6	17	-29	-11.2	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	12	0	2	+16	+5.5	36
2	Nordsjaelland	14	9	4	1	+15	+7.1	31
3	FC Copenhagen	14	9	4	1	+13	+10.2	31
4	Aarhus	14	7	6	1	+16	+9.8	27
5	Brondby	14	7	6	1	+10	+5.9	27
6	Viborg	14	8	3	3	+5	-4.2	27
7	Randers FC	14	7	4	3	+10	+7.3	25
8	Silkeborg	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.9	22
9	Sonderjyske	14	4	4	6	-12	-11.1	16
10	Lyngby	14	3	5	6	-6	-0.4	14
11	Aalborg	15	3	4	8	-15	-10.4	13
12	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-14	-2.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	14	6	4	4	+4	+1.6	22
2	Silkeborg	15	5	5	5	+7	+3.4	20
3	Brondby	14	5	5	4	+5	+2.1	20
4	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.8	17
5	Midtjylland	14	4	4	6	+2	-0.6	16
6	Sonderjyske	14	4	2	8	-9	-3.4	14
7	Viborg	14	2	7	5	+0	+0.7	13
8	Aarhus	14	3	4	7	-2	+0.9	13
9	Nordsjaelland	14	3	2	9	-16	-0.2	11
10	Aalborg	13	2	4	7	-13	-10.1	10
11	Vejle	14	3	1	10	-15	-8.5	10
12	Lyngby	14	1	6	7	-7	-5.6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.