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Pro League

Referee: M Ledda

Westerlo

U U U S U

4–2

Full-time

Dender

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

31%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

77%

62%

Both score Ø 71%

77%

65%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,99 xG 3,05

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Westerlo 11. · Dender 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	6	3	+37	+36.3	60
2	St. Gilloise	26	16	7	3	+29	+25.1	55
3	Genk	26	17	4	5	+20	+18.3	55
4	Anderlecht	27	15	6	6	+28	+8.6	51
5	Antwerp	26	11	10	5	+14	-2.5	43
6	Charleroi	25	9	8	8	+5	+5.3	35
7	Gent	27	9	8	10	-6	-12.6	35
8	Dender	26	8	9	9	-9	-13.8	33
9	Cercle Brugge	28	8	9	11	-15	-1.6	33
10	Standard	26	7	9	10	-14	-10.4	30
11	Westerlo	26	7	8	11	-2	+1.7	29
12	Mechelen	26	6	8	12	-6	+0.9	26
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	4	14	8	-6	-5.0	26
14	St Truiden	28	6	7	15	-24	-9.3	25
15	Kortrijk	28	7	3	18	-25	-15.5	24
16	Beerschot VA	28	3	8	17	-26	-25.3	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
2	St. Gilloise	13	10	1	2	+19	+18.6	31
3	Genk	13	10	1	2	+17	+15.2	31
4	Anderlecht	13	7	4	2	+18	+6.0	25
5	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+10	+6.5	24
6	Cercle Brugge	14	6	5	3	+0	+5.3	23
7	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+12	+4.0	21
8	Gent	13	6	2	5	+5	-3.1	20
9	Standard	13	5	4	4	+0	-2.8	19
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	9	1	+4	+2.9	18
11	St Truiden	14	4	6	4	-3	+0.8	18
12	Westerlo	13	4	5	4	+6	+12.1	17
13	Mechelen	13	4	5	4	+6	+6.1	17
14	Dender	13	4	5	4	+1	-3.6	17
15	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-6	-2.1	16
16	Beerschot VA	14	3	6	5	-4	-10.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	8	4	1	+14	+13.5	28
2	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
3	St. Gilloise	13	6	6	1	+10	+6.5	24
4	Genk	13	7	3	3	+3	+3.1	24
5	Antwerp	13	5	7	1	+2	-6.6	22
6	Dender	13	4	4	5	-10	-10.3	16
7	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
8	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-8	-10.4	12
9	Charleroi	12	2	5	5	-5	-1.2	11
10	Standard	13	2	5	6	-14	-7.6	11
11	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-15	-7.0	10
12	Mechelen	13	2	3	8	-12	-5.2	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	1	5	7	-10	-7.9	8
14	Kortrijk	14	2	2	10	-19	-13.3	8
15	St Truiden	14	2	1	11	-21	-10.1	7
16	Beerschot VA	14	0	2	12	-22	-15.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.