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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Grenoble
T S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Troyes
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 35%
47%
22%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%
15 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 9. · Troyes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 32 21 5 6 +34 68
2 Paris FC 32 20 5 7 +20 65
3 Metz 32 17 10 5 +29 61
4 Dunkerque 32 17 3 12 +7 54
5 Guingamp 32 16 3 13 +10 51
6 Laval 32 14 7 11 +7 49
7 Annecy 32 13 9 10 -2 48
8 Bastia 32 10 14 8 +5 44
9 Grenoble 32 12 7 13 -1 43
10 Pau FC 32 10 12 10 -10 42
11 Troyes 32 12 5 15 +3 41
12 Amiens 32 12 4 16 -13 40
13 Ajaccio 32 11 6 15 -11 39
14 Rodez 32 9 10 13 +2 37
15 Red Star 32 9 9 14 -14 36
16 Martigues 32 9 4 19 -23 31
17 Clermont 32 6 11 15 -17 29
18 Caen 32 5 6 21 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Troyes
1–0 J. Benet
N. Elphege
28′
2–0 E. Sylvestre
35′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 J. Olaïtan
51′
Junior Olaitan 🟨
55′
55′
N. de Préville 3–1
60′
🔁 M. Detourbet
↦ R. Saïd
61′
🔁 A. Phliponeau
↦ A. Kanté
61′
🔁 P. Gozzi
↦ Houboulang Mendes
Y. Diaby 🔁
↦ E. Sylvestre
64′
A. Jabbari 🔁
↦ N. Elphege
69′
D. Rigo 🔁
↦ T. Valls
69′
70′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ N. de Préville
N. Zahui 🔁
↦ J. Olaïtan
78′
L. Nestor 🔁
↦ G. Paquiez
79′
81′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ Y. MChangama
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

5-4-1
13 M. Diop G
17 S. Delos D
29 G. Paquiez D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
33 E. Sarıkaya D
27 M. Xantippe D
10 E. Sylvestre M
25 T. Valls M
8 J. Benet M
28 J. Olaïtan M
23 N. Elphege F
Bench (7)
7 Y. Diaby
38 A. Jabbari
6 D. Rigo
87 N. Zahui
14 L. Nestor
16 B. Allain
21 A. Tchaptchet

Coach: F. Rizzetto

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
4 J. Diaz D
6 A. Monfray D
14 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
21 C. Irié M
8 M. Diop M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
12 N. de Préville F
Bench (7)
32 M. Detourbet
26 A. Phliponeau
23 P. Gozzi
9 M. El Idrissy
24 M. Adeline
7 X. Chavalerin
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,08
U
3,29
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.