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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Schalke 04
U S T U T
0–2
Full-time
Paderborn
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
32%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
68%
61%
Both score Ø 70%
68%
71%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Paderborn 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 31 16 6 9 +10 54
2 Hamburg 31 14 11 6 +26 53
3 Magdeburg 31 13 11 7 +16 50
4 Elversberg 31 13 10 8 +21 49
5 Paderborn 31 13 10 8 +10 49
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 31 13 10 8 +5 49
7 Kaiserslautern 31 14 7 10 +4 49
8 Karlsruhe 31 13 8 10 -1 47
9 Hannover 31 12 10 9 +4 46
10 Nurnberg 31 13 6 12 +3 45
11 Hertha 31 11 7 13 -1 40
12 Darmstadt 31 10 9 12 +4 39
13 Schalke 04 31 10 8 13 -5 38
14 Greuther Furth 31 9 8 14 -14 35
15 Braunschweig 31 8 10 13 -20 34
16 Ulm 31 6 11 14 -6 29
17 Preußen Münster 31 6 11 14 -10 29
18 Regensburg 31 6 5 20 -46 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Paderborn
Anton Donkor 🟨
22′
40′
R. Obermair 0–1
Half-time 0–1
T. Mohr 🔁
↦ A. Younes
46′
48′
M. Mehlem 0–2
I. Ansah
Paul Seguin 🟨
59′
P. Meïssa Ba 🔁
↦ E. Højlund
62′
C. Antwi-Adjei 🔁
↦ J. Bachmann
62′
Ron Schallenberg 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
70′
A. Gantenbein 🔁
↦ T. Bulut
71′
M. Grüger 🔁
↦ P. Seguin
71′
72′
🔁 S. Castañeda
↦ S. Michel
80′
🔁 M. Hoffmeier
↦ C. Brackelmann
80′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ M. Mehlem
89′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ F. Bilbija
89′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ I. Ansah
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-4-2
28 J. Heekeren G
31 T. Bulut D
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
30 A. Donkor D
14 J. Bachmann M
6 R. Schallenberg M
7 P. Seguin M
8 A. Younes M
15 E. Højlund F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
29 T. Mohr
10 P. Meïssa Ba
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
17 A. Gantenbein
37 M. Grüger
23 M. Aydın
39 P. Remmert
2 F. Sánchez
34 M. Langer

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Paderborn

3-5-2
1 M. Riemann G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
6 M. Mehlem M
22 M. Hansen M
7 F. Bilbija M
32 A. Zehnter M
29 I. Ansah F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
5 S. Castañeda
33 M. Hoffmeier
39 A. Grimaldi
26 S. Klaas
36 F. Platte
46 L. Engelns
30 M. Schubert
17 L. Curda
19 L. Herrmann

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,71
U
3,92
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.