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Puchar Polski

Referee: S Marciniak

Pogon Szczecin

S S T S S

3–4

Full-time

Legia

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 35%

20%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

2,6

3,3

Conceded

0,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 1. · Legia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Legia	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ruch Chorzow	5	4	0	1	+3	12
4	Puszcza	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Polonia Warszawa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Korona Kielce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	LKS Lodz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
13	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+2	4
17	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
22	Lech Poznań II	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Unia Skierniewice	3	1	1	1	-1	4
24	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2	0	1	1	-1	1
42	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
44	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Korona Kielce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Unia Skierniewice	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Polonia Warszawa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	-3	3
19	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Legnica	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
26	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	LKS Lodz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Puszcza	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Legia	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Ruch Chorzow	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.