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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Nordsjaelland
T U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Brondby
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,89 xG 0,71
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 6. · Brondby 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.2 6
2 Odense 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.1 4
3 Randers FC 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.3 4
4 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.0 3
5 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.6 3
6 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.0 3
7 Midtjylland 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
8 Sonderjyske 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.8 1
9 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
10 Vejle 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.8 1
11 Viborg 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0
12 Silkeborg 2 0 0 2 -5 -0.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Brondby
Villum Berthelsen 🟨
13′
16′
C. Bischoff 0–1
N. Vallys
27′
🟨 Filip Bundgaard
Half-time 0–1
S. Acquah 🔁
↦ M. Walker
68′
M. Iloski 🔁
↦ P. Amoako
68′
J. Janssen 🔁
↦ V. Berthelsen
68′
74′
🔁 O. Villadsen
↦ M. Divkovic
75′
🔁 S. Spierings
↦ D. Wass
L. Nene 🔁
↦ M. Brink
82′
82′
🔁 B. Tahirovic
↦ C. Bischoff
82′
🔁 K. Uchino
↦ F. Bundgaard
90′
🔁 F. Alves
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
94′
🟨 Nicolai Vallys
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
38 W. Lykke G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
24 L. Hogsberg D
28 M. Walker D
36 C. Yirenkyi M
6 M. Brink M
8 N. Rojkjaer M
7 S. W. Egeli F
29 V. Berthelsen F
22 P. Amoako F
Bench (9)
13 A. Hansen
4 K. Hansen
34 S. Acquah
45 N. Markmann
21 Z. Sertdemir
23 M. Iloski
18 J. Janssen
17 L. Nene
40 H. Rasmussen

Coach: Jens Olsen

Brondby

3-4-3
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
5 R. Lauritsen D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
24 M. Divkovic M
10 D. Wass M
35 N. Nartey M
27 M. Kohlert M
7 N. Vallys F
11 F. Bundgaard F
37 C. Bischoff F
Bench (9)
13 G. Beavers
2 O. Villadsen
32 F. Alves
6 S. Spierings
8 B. Tahirovic
42 M. Jensen
18 K. Uchino
19 S. Fukuda
38 J. Ambaek

Coach: Steven Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.