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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Aarhus

S U U U S

1–1

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 58%

64%

52%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

68%

Both score Ø 60%

72%

48%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,46 xG 0,31

62% Possession 38%

25 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 1. · Nordsjaelland 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	25	16	7	2	+24	+18.8	55
2	Midtjylland	25	13	9	3	+34	+8.6	48
3	Nordsjaelland	25	13	1	11	+2	+0.2	40
4	Sonderjyske	25	10	8	7	+4	+0.1	38
5	Viborg	25	11	4	10	+2	-2.7	37
6	Brondby	25	10	5	10	+7	+4.7	35
7	Odense	25	9	7	9	-8	+4.6	34
8	FC Copenhagen	25	9	5	11	+6	+18.5	32
9	Randers FC	25	8	6	11	-5	+4.4	30
10	Fredericia	25	8	3	14	-22	-24.2	27
11	Silkeborg	25	6	5	14	-25	-19.1	23
12	Vejle	25	3	8	14	-19	-14.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	7	5	1	+19	+8.7	26
2	Aarhus	12	8	2	2	+12	+15.3	26
3	Nordsjaelland	13	8	1	4	+11	+7.7	25
4	Sonderjyske	12	7	3	2	+8	+2.7	24
5	Odense	13	6	3	4	-2	+6.7	21
6	Viborg	13	6	2	5	+3	-5.4	20
7	Brondby	12	5	3	4	+4	+2.0	18
8	FC Copenhagen	13	4	4	5	+5	+15.9	16
9	Randers FC	12	4	2	6	-6	+0.2	14
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-2	-3.4	13
11	Silkeborg	12	3	3	6	-8	-3.2	12
12	Fredericia	12	3	2	7	-14	-8.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	13	8	5	0	+12	+3.5	29
2	Midtjylland	12	6	4	2	+15	-0.0	22
3	Brondby	13	5	2	6	+3	+2.6	17
4	Viborg	12	5	2	5	-1	+2.8	17
5	FC Copenhagen	12	5	1	6	+1	+2.6	16
6	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	+1	+4.2	16
7	Fredericia	13	5	1	7	-8	-15.6	16
8	Nordsjaelland	12	5	0	7	-9	-7.5	15
9	Sonderjyske	13	3	5	5	-4	-2.6	14
10	Odense	12	3	4	5	-6	-2.1	13
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-17	-15.9	11
12	Vejle	12	0	4	8	-17	-10.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.