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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Viborg

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 46%

43%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

67%

71%

Both score Ø 55%

62%

48%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,84 xG 1,47

48% Possession 52%

23 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 6. · Nordsjaelland 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	21	14	5	2	+22	+16.4	47
2	Midtjylland	21	13	6	2	+35	+7.1	45
3	Brondby	21	10	3	8	+9	+8.0	33
4	Sonderjyske	21	9	6	6	+5	+0.1	33
5	Nordsjaelland	21	10	1	10	-1	+0.0	31
6	Viborg	21	9	3	9	+1	-2.5	30
7	FC Copenhagen	21	8	5	8	+2	+12.8	29
8	Odense	21	7	6	8	-9	+3.1	27
9	Randers FC	21	6	5	10	-6	+3.6	23
10	Fredericia	21	6	3	12	-20	-18.9	21
11	Silkeborg	21	5	4	12	-20	-16.4	19
12	Vejle	21	3	5	13	-18	-13.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	11	8	1	2	+12	+15.3	25
2	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.0	24
3	Sonderjyske	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.7	20
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	1	4	+8	+6.7	19
5	Brondby	11	5	3	3	+5	+4.2	18
6	Viborg	10	5	1	4	+3	-3.2	16
7	Odense	11	4	3	4	-4	+5.2	15
8	Randers FC	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.3	14
9	FC Copenhagen	10	3	4	3	+0	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	10	3	2	5	-1	-2.8	11
11	Silkeborg	11	3	2	6	-8	-3.2	11
12	Fredericia	10	2	2	6	-12	-8.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+10	+1.1	22
2	Midtjylland	11	6	3	2	+15	-0.9	21
3	FC Copenhagen	11	5	1	5	+2	+3.5	16
4	Brondby	10	5	0	5	+4	+3.8	15
5	Viborg	11	4	2	5	-2	+0.7	14
6	Sonderjyske	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.6	13
7	Fredericia	11	4	1	6	-8	-10.6	13
8	Odense	10	3	3	4	-5	-2.0	12
9	Nordsjaelland	10	4	0	6	-9	-6.7	12
10	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-3	+3.3	9
11	Silkeborg	10	2	2	6	-12	-13.2	8
12	Vejle	11	0	3	8	-17	-10.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.