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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Nordsjaelland

S S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Aarhus

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

44%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,9

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 2,71

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · Aarhus 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+10	+8.2	20
2	Aarhus	9	6	2	1	+10	+4.5	20
3	Midtjylland	9	5	3	1	+11	+1.6	18
4	Brondby	9	5	0	4	+1	+3.8	15
5	Randers FC	9	4	1	4	-2	-0.2	13
6	Viborg	10	4	0	6	-3	-1.9	12
7	Nordsjaelland	9	4	0	5	-5	-0.5	12
8	Sonderjyske	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.6	11
9	Fredericia	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.0	11
10	Odense	9	3	2	4	-6	+4.6	11
11	Silkeborg	10	3	2	5	-6	-2.7	11
12	Vejle	10	1	4	5	-3	-5.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+8	+4.0	11
2	Aarhus	5	3	1	1	+4	+6.7	10
3	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	+1.7	9
4	Odense	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.3	9
5	Sonderjyske	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.9	7
6	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	-1	+2.2	7
7	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.0	7
8	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.5	6
9	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.4	6
10	Randers FC	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.8	6
11	FC Copenhagen	4	1	2	1	+1	+5.3	5
12	Vejle	5	1	2	2	+1	-2.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.9	15
2	Aarhus	4	3	1	0	+6	-2.2	10
3	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.1	6
6	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.5	6
7	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-4	-3.0	6
8	Fredericia	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.0	4
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.7	4
10	Silkeborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.8	4
11	Vejle	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.3	2
12	Odense	4	0	2	2	-5	+1.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.