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Superligaen

Referee: S Putros

Sonderjyske

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Aarhus

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 57%

45%

68%

Points per game

1,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

59%

Both score Ø 66%

59%

73%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,5

2,1

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,00 xG 1,82

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 3. · Aarhus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	22	15	5	2	+23	+16.3	50
2	Midtjylland	23	13	7	3	+34	+7.8	46
3	Sonderjyske	22	10	6	6	+6	+0.9	36
4	Brondby	22	10	4	8	+9	+7.6	34
5	Nordsjaelland	23	11	1	11	-1	-0.7	34
6	Viborg	22	10	3	9	+2	-2.1	33
7	Odense	23	8	6	9	-9	+3.3	30
8	FC Copenhagen	23	8	5	10	+0	+11.8	29
9	Randers FC	23	8	5	10	-2	+4.5	29
10	Fredericia	23	7	3	13	-22	-19.2	24
11	Silkeborg	22	5	4	13	-21	-16.9	19
12	Vejle	22	3	5	14	-19	-13.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	7	4	1	+19	+8.8	25
2	Aarhus	11	8	1	2	+12	+15.3	25
3	Sonderjyske	11	7	2	2	+8	+3.5	23
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	1	4	+8	+6.7	19
5	Viborg	11	6	1	4	+4	-2.8	19
6	Brondby	11	5	3	3	+5	+4.2	18
7	Odense	12	5	3	4	-3	+6.1	18
8	Randers FC	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.3	14
9	FC Copenhagen	11	3	4	4	-1	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	11	3	2	6	-2	-2.7	11
11	Silkeborg	11	3	2	6	-8	-3.2	11
12	Fredericia	12	3	2	7	-14	-8.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	11	7	4	0	+11	+0.9	25
2	Midtjylland	11	6	3	2	+15	-0.9	21
3	Brondby	11	5	1	5	+4	+3.5	16
4	FC Copenhagen	12	5	1	6	+1	+2.6	16
5	Randers FC	12	4	3	5	+1	+4.1	15
6	Nordsjaelland	12	5	0	7	-9	-7.5	15
7	Viborg	11	4	2	5	-2	+0.7	14
8	Sonderjyske	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.6	13
9	Fredericia	11	4	1	6	-8	-10.6	13
10	Odense	11	3	3	5	-6	-2.8	12
11	Silkeborg	11	2	2	7	-13	-13.8	8
12	Vejle	11	0	3	8	-17	-10.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.